LAK beat CGY 3–2 in a shootout. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 2.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Viktor Arvidsson scored at 15:38 of the third, moving LAK’s win probability from 11% to 49%. Cal Petersen saved 1.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–CGY | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 1:05 | LAK | Alex Iafallo from Adrian Kempe, Alexander Edler | 1–0 | 47% → 66% |
| P3 1:36 | CGY | Johnny GaudreauPP from Calle Jarnkrok, Noah Hanifin | 1–1 | 27% → 52% |
| P3 13:33 | CGY | Erik Gudbranson from Sean Monahan, Milan Lucic | 1–2 | 51% → 87% |
| P3 15:38 | LAK | Viktor Arvidsson from Phillip Danault, Olli Maatta | 2–2 | 11% → 49% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Iafallo L | 16:09 | 1 | +0.62 | +0.14 | +0.49 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 17:31 | 1 | +0.53 | +0.22 | +0.31 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Alexander Edler D | 19:54 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.27 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Lias Andersson C | 9:40 | +0.20 | −0.04 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.04 | +0.70 | ||
| Jordan Spence D | 16:31 | +0.18 | +0.27 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olli Maatta D | 16:19 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:49 | +0.09 | +0.37 | −0.35 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Troy Stecher D | 20:34 | +0.07 | +0.10 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 19:18 | +0.05 | +0.16 | −0.30 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 21:57 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.09 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | −0.00 | |
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 11:12 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 15:32 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 10:52 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 13:11 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 18:11 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.16 | −0.24 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.09 | |
| Sean Durzi D | 28:36 | −0.28 | +0.07 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 14:43 | −0.29 | +0.02 | −0.32 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Tobias Bjornfot D | 21:41 | −0.30 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Petersen G | 65:00 | +1.95 |
CGY
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Gudbranson D | 21:21 | 1 | +1.05 | +0.14 | +0.92 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Johnny Gaudreau L | 17:55 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.09 | +0.59 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.32 | |
| Nikita Zadorov D | 19:25 | +0.16 | +0.19 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Milan Lucic L | 12:11 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 14:55 | 1 | +0.04 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Trevor Lewis C | 13:01 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Blake Coleman L | 14:44 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.33 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Oliver Kylington D | 12:26 | −0.18 | −0.07 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Monahan C | 12:52 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.05 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Matthew Tkachuk L | 17:34 | −0.22 | +0.11 | −0.07 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.28 | ||
| Andrew Mangiapane L | 14:52 | −0.27 | −0.12 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Chris Tanev D | 20:34 | −0.30 | −0.33 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Andersson D | 25:51 | −0.32 | −0.26 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dillon Dube C | 15:45 | −0.37 | −0.05 | −0.30 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Noah Hanifin D | 25:03 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.38 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Elias Lindholm C | 19:54 | −0.50 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Tyler Toffoli C | 16:34 | −0.79 | −0.13 | −0.68 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mikael Backlund C | 19:02 | −0.80 | −0.26 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.30 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom G | 65:00 | +0.72 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.