NJD beat MTL 3–2 in a shootout. Expected goals were close to even (MTL 4.6, NJD 4.3), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Rem Pitlick scored on the power play at 19:18 of the third, moving MTL’s win probability from 4% to 49%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MTL–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 19:16 | NJD | Jack Hughes unassisted | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P2 14:16 | NJD | Jack HughesPP from Jesper Bratt, Damon Severson | 0–2 | 76% → 90% |
| P2 17:36 | MTL | Josh Anderson from Jesse Ylonen, Chris Wideman | 1–2 | 10% → 24% |
| P3 19:18 | MTL | Rem PitlickPP from Christian Dvorak, Cole Caufield | 2–2 | 4% → 49% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rem Pitlick C | 23:54 | 1 | +1.64 | +0.14 | +0.73 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.83 | |
| Mike Hoffman C | 19:37 | +0.98 | +0.44 | −0.35 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +1.05 | ||
| Cole Caufield R | 20:46 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.39 | −0.50 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.70 | |
| Chris Wideman D | 14:38 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.21 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake Evans C | 16:32 | +0.09 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| David Savard D | 22:40 | +0.09 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Anderson R | 19:45 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.07 | +0.20 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Joel Edmundson D | 18:27 | +0.06 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Corey Schueneman D | 16:14 | −0.07 | +0.24 | −0.29 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Perreault C | 5:45 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jesse Ylonen R | 7:35 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Laurent Dauphin C | 11:12 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Alexander Romanov D | 24:05 | −0.32 | −0.27 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Barron D | 17:55 | −0.51 | −0.21 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Byron L | 14:15 | −0.58 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.45 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 15:14 | −0.62 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.45 | ||
| Nick Suzuki C | 23:32 | −0.94 | +0.14 | −0.63 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.45 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 19:13 | 1 | −1.10 | −0.18 | −0.58 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.12 | −0.45 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault G | 64:46 | −0.41 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hughes C | 24:50 | 2 | +2.54 | +0.40 | +1.23 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.03 | +0.74 | |
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 19:45 | +1.04 | +0.20 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +1.05 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 22:37 | +0.66 | +0.17 | −0.38 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +1.05 | ||
| A.J. Greer L | 6:47 | +0.17 | +0.04 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Kevin Bahl D | 11:48 | +0.17 | +0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 19:28 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.14 | −0.65 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.65 | |
| P.K. Subban D | 11:45 | +0.01 | +0.22 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McLeod C | 11:00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 22:39 | −0.07 | +0.12 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dawson Mercer C | 19:06 | −0.22 | +0.22 | −0.24 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Tomas Tatar L | 12:32 | −0.28 | +0.13 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.30 | ||
| Ryan Graves D | 21:41 | −0.33 | −0.34 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 9:11 | −0.42 | −0.19 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Jimmy Vesey L | 11:46 | −0.42 | −0.11 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Nico Hischier C | 24:11 | −0.47 | +0.12 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.45 | ||
| Nathan Bastian R | 13:22 | −0.64 | −0.37 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 30:56 | 1 | −0.70 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.45 | |
| Miles Wood L | 11:46 | −0.73 | −0.49 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Daws G | 65:00 | +0.96 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.