CHI beat ANA 4–2. CHI also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Dylan Strome scored at 16:10 of the third, moving CHI’s win probability from 49% to 89%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–ANA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:11 | CHI | Taylor RaddyshPP from Dylan Strome, Patrick Kane | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 13:40 | ANA | Sam Carrick from Buddy Robinson, Maxime Comtois | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P2 11:37 | CHI | Patrick KanePP from Alex DeBrincat, Seth Jones | 2–1 | 48% → 69% |
| P3 13:28 | ANA | Sam Carrick from Adam Henrique, Trevor Zegras | 2–2 | 16% → 51% |
| P3 16:10 | CHI | Dylan Strome from Riley Stillman, Patrick Kane | 3–2 | 49% → 89% |
| P3 18:57 | CHI | Alex DeBrincatEN from Jonathan Toews, Jake McCabe | 4–2 | 94% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Strome C | 21:23 | 1 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.06 | +0.62 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 |
| Patrick Kane R | 20:42 | 1 | 2 | +0.69 | +0.03 | +0.61 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Taylor Raddysh R | 15:32 | 1 | +0.41 | −0.13 | +0.53 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Riley Stillman D | 17:25 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.20 | −0.03 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 21:28 | 1 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.06 | −0.18 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 6:14 | +0.06 | +0.05 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Boris Katchouk L | 7:50 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake McCabe D | 20:32 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Gustafsson D | 14:51 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 26:13 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.08 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Calvin de Haan D | 20:29 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 18:02 | −0.11 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 17:32 | −0.11 | +0.05 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dominik Kubalik L | 12:18 | −0.13 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Reese Johnson C | 6:41 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 15:14 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.14 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | |
| Kirby Dach C | 18:01 | −0.32 | +0.10 | −0.39 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Sam Lafferty C | 17:33 | −0.64 | +0.03 | −0.56 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.10 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 60:00 | +0.71 |
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Carrick C | 13:27 | 2 | +1.63 | +0.05 | +1.57 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Maxime Comtois L | 9:17 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Simon Benoit D | 16:10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 27:11 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Guhle D | 15:09 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Buddy Robinson R | 4:02 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Zegras C | 24:13 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.09 | −0.23 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Sam Steel C | 14:21 | −0.11 | +0.04 | −0.32 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 23:01 | −0.12 | +0.15 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 13:51 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Adam Henrique C | 19:13 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.05 | −0.31 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Zachary Aston-Reese C | 12:38 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dominik Simon C | 18:21 | −0.23 | −0.04 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vinni Lettieri C | 12:04 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jamie Drysdale D | 20:37 | −0.27 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrej Sustr D | 17:50 | −0.27 | −0.02 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Gerry Mayhew C | 17:43 | −0.35 | −0.01 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Grant C | 19:05 | −0.49 | −0.12 | −0.33 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 59:00 | +0.23 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.