DET beat VAN 1–0. DET lost the expected-goals battle 2.7 to 3.8 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Pius Suter scored at 8:09 of the second, moving DET’s win probability from 46% to 68%. Alex Nedeljkovic saved 6.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DET–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 8:09 | DET | Pius Suter from Vladislav Namestnikov | 1–0 | 46% → 68% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 18:45 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.13 | −0.09 | +0.19 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Moritz Seider D | 23:58 | +0.04 | +0.09 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pius Suter C | 18:02 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.33 | −0.12 | +0.03 | −0.19 | −0.09 | |
| Jakub Vrana L | 10:25 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taro Hirose L | 9:12 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Erne L | 11:28 | −0.11 | +0.03 | −0.08 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Olli Juolevi D | 14:57 | −0.12 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Troy Stecher D | 15:08 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Oesterle D | 22:04 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.06 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Gagner C | 15:22 | −0.14 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 11:26 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Lucas Raymond L | 17:04 | −0.15 | +0.08 | −0.13 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 22:18 | −0.22 | +0.07 | −0.24 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 12:36 | −0.22 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 22:29 | −0.25 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc Staal D | 21:20 | −0.30 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Zadina R | 14:21 | −0.34 | −0.16 | −0.07 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Givani Smith R | 13:05 | −0.54 | −0.15 | −0.35 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic G | 60:00 | +6.45 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasily Podkolzin R | 13:20 | +0.19 | +0.14 | −0.08 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 12:44 | +0.05 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Garland R | 20:15 | −0.01 | +0.09 | −0.43 | −0.09 | +0.04 | +0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Hunt D | 15:06 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Chiasson R | 11:12 | −0.05 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 19:57 | −0.05 | +0.12 | −0.07 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nic Petan C | 11:21 | −0.08 | +0.08 | −0.07 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinn Hughes D | 27:24 | −0.09 | +0.24 | −0.15 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 21:38 | −0.11 | +0.06 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Matthew Highmore C | 8:21 | −0.14 | −0.11 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Travis Hamonic D | 15:03 | −0.24 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 21:36 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Motte C | 13:12 | −0.27 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Juho Lammikko C | 8:54 | −0.30 | −0.11 | −0.12 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 19:54 | −0.32 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Pettersson C | 21:39 | −0.35 | +0.20 | −0.44 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 21:53 | −0.36 | +0.01 | −0.26 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Tanner Pearson L | 16:37 | −0.46 | −0.05 | −0.30 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko G | 57:39 | +1.93 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.