DAL beat MTL 4–3 in overtime. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 4.0 to 2.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: John Klingberg scored at 4:50 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–MTL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 18:33 | DAL | Radek Faksa from Michael Raffl, Alexander Radulov | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 9:36 | MTL | Cole CaufieldPP from Nick Suzuki, Chris Wideman | 1–1 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 15:51 | DAL | Jamie Benn from Esa Lindell, John Klingberg | 2–1 | 47% → 71% |
| P3 8:52 | MTL | Nick Suzuki from Cole Caufield, Alexander Romanov | 2–2 | 21% → 52% |
| P3 12:47 | MTL | Corey Schueneman from Rem Pitlick, Laurent Dauphin | 2–3 | 51% → 86% |
| P3 15:14 | DAL | John Klingberg from Jamie Benn, Denis Gurianov | 3–3 | 11% → 49% |
| OT 4:50 | DAL | John Klingberg from Jamie Benn, Tyler Seguin | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Klingberg D | 28:35 | 2 | 1 | +0.96 | +0.02 | +1.32 | +0.02 | −0.03 | −0.37 | +0.00 |
| Radek Faksa C | 16:04 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.13 | +0.69 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.03 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 14:14 | 1 | 2 | +0.57 | −0.08 | +0.50 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.04 |
| Alexander Radulov R | 10:39 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.14 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Esa Lindell D | 24:21 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.20 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jason Robertson L | 23:04 | +0.15 | +0.20 | −0.15 | +0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Thomas Harley D | 15:21 | +0.12 | +0.06 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Hanley D | 12:02 | +0.11 | +0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denis Gurianov R | 11:11 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jani Hakanpää D | 18:26 | +0.03 | +0.13 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 14:03 | −0.14 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Marián Studenic R | 7:52 | −0.16 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Peterson C | 9:14 | −0.17 | −0.06 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 23:11 | −0.18 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Raffl L | 12:35 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.14 | −0.41 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Roope Hintz C | 22:43 | −0.36 | +0.09 | −0.50 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Tyler Seguin C | 20:03 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.13 | −0.41 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joe Pavelski C | 22:28 | −0.53 | −0.00 | −0.37 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger G | 60:00 | +0.49 |
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Schueneman D | 13:23 | 1 | +0.76 | −0.13 | +0.91 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Suzuki C | 22:50 | 1 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.60 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Cole Caufield R | 20:07 | 1 | 1 | +0.58 | +0.08 | +0.52 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Alexander Romanov D | 23:17 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.16 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chris Wideman D | 13:07 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Pezzetta L | 6:56 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Evans C | 11:34 | −0.06 | −0.11 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Brett Kulak D | 18:42 | −0.13 | +0.08 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 24:23 | −0.22 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Byron L | 11:34 | −0.25 | −0.06 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Gallagher R | 12:09 | −0.27 | −0.12 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Hoffman C | 18:43 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.46 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Laurent Dauphin C | 14:47 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.02 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Rem Pitlick C | 22:34 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.02 | −0.25 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 16:39 | −0.35 | −0.37 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 16:42 | −0.36 | −0.18 | −0.24 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 15:51 | −0.37 | −0.05 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Petry D | 25:27 | −0.45 | −0.33 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 63:51 | +0.02 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.