NJD beat ANA 2–1 in a shootout. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 4.1 to 3.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Tomas Tatar scored at 2:39 of the second, moving NJD’s win probability from 34% to 53%. Nico Daws saved 2.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 11:02 |  ANA | Troy Terry from Maxime Comtois, Josh Manson | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 2:39 | NJD | Tomas Tatar from Jesper Boqvist | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Terry R | 21:49 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.04 | +0.28 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.09 | |
| Andrej Sustr D | 18:22 | +0.10 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Maxime Comtois L | 18:49 | 1 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Sam Carrick C | 13:15 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.06 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.09 | −0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 10:24 | −0.06 | +0.04 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Josh Manson D | 20:01 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vinni Lettieri C | 9:12 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Derek Grant C | 14:33 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 12:19 | −0.20 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Joshua Mahura D | 15:50 | −0.34 | −0.26 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Buddy Robinson R | 8:16 | −0.35 | −0.04 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 25:29 | −0.39 | +0.09 | −0.27 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 18:50 | −0.40 | −0.19 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sonny Milano L | 18:38 | −0.40 | −0.18 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Adam Henrique C | 19:43 | −0.41 | +0.03 | −0.63 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 20:53 | −0.42 | −0.06 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.30 | ||
| Rickard Rakell R | 20:18 | −0.52 | −0.35 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 24:19 | −0.58 | −0.13 | −0.46 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz G | 65:00 | +1.75 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Tatar L | 15:37 | 1 | +1.47 | −0.01 | +0.77 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.70 | |
| Jesper Bratt L | 20:01 | +0.30 | −0.01 | −0.10 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.40 | ||
| P.K. Subban D | 18:16 | +0.20 | +0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Graves D | 18:25 | +0.17 | +0.16 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 25:14 | +0.16 | +0.24 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 14:16 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 21:12 | +0.09 | +0.14 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Geertsen L | 3:33 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 22:26 | −0.03 | +0.07 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 17:17 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.27 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Andreas Johnsson L | 14:33 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jack Hughes C | 23:02 | −0.15 | +0.28 | −0.61 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Michael McLeod C | 11:28 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Nathan Bastian R | 10:05 | −0.26 | −0.10 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ty Smith D | 17:19 | −0.27 | +0.10 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dawson Mercer C | 18:22 | −0.38 | +0.09 | −0.42 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Jimmy Vesey L | 19:14 | −0.43 | +0.22 | −0.43 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 22:12 | −0.44 | +0.04 | −0.48 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Daws G | 64:14 | +2.86 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.