PHI beat VGK 2–1. PHI lost the expected-goals battle 1.4 to 5.2 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Justin Braun scored at 4:44 of the first, moving PHI’s win probability from 53% to 69%. Carter Hart saved 6.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:44 |  PHI | Justin Braun from Travis Konecny, Scott Laughton | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 19:09 | PHI | Oskar Lindblom from Scott Laughton, Ivan Provorov | 0–2 | 72% → 85% |
| P2 6:26 | VGK | Evgenii DadonovPP from Jonathan Marchessault, Jack Eichel | 1–2 | 13% → 27% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evgenii Dadonov L | 14:41 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.48 | +0.26 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 17:59 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.46 | −0.27 | +0.10 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.03 | |
| Shea Theodore D | 26:56 | +0.30 | +0.53 | −0.08 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 26:05 | +0.30 | +0.57 | −0.09 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chandler Stephenson C | 18:15 | +0.15 | +0.25 | −0.13 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.04 | ||
| Jack Eichel C | 20:29 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.49 | −0.71 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.06 | |
| Zach Whitecloud D | 18:27 | +0.01 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keegan Kolesar R | 11:12 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Coghlan D | 10:00 | −0.03 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Leschyshyn C | 10:41 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Max Pacioretty L | 19:40 | −0.06 | +0.50 | −0.47 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 16:09 | −0.07 | +0.19 | −0.14 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Michael Amadio R | 11:05 | −0.08 | +0.06 | −0.06 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Hutton D | 16:40 | −0.15 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 16:17 | −0.16 | +0.22 | −0.28 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 15:46 | −0.16 | +0.17 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Roy C | 13:46 | −0.22 | +0.24 | −0.14 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| William Carrier L | 9:37 | −0.23 | +0.07 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Robin Lehner G | 58:15 | −0.88 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Seeler D | 12:44 | +0.33 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 11:19 | 1 | +0.31 | −0.10 | +0.45 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Justin Braun D | 21:10 | 1 | +0.17 | −0.35 | +0.46 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zack MacEwen C | 8:02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 16:09 | 2 | −0.00 | −0.29 | −0.03 | +0.32 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Keith Yandle D | 13:25 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 17:39 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.11 | −0.11 | +0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gerry Mayhew C | 8:29 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Claude Giroux R | 17:39 | −0.09 | −0.22 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Patrick Brown C | 14:30 | −0.18 | −0.21 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Derick Brassard C | 15:19 | −0.22 | −0.17 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 14:58 | −0.23 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 17:56 | −0.28 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 15:18 | −0.29 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 25:23 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.36 | −0.07 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Cam Atkinson R | 17:38 | −0.63 | −0.53 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 23:08 | −0.66 | −0.43 | +0.00 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 20:51 | −0.68 | −0.44 | −0.08 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 60:00 | +6.64 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.