LAK beat CBJ 4–3 in overtime. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 1.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Viktor Arvidsson scored at 4:00 of overtime, moving LAK’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–CBJ | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 14:00 | LAK | Viktor Arvidsson from Trevor Moore | 1–0 | 47% → 70% |
| P2 15:34 | CBJ | Patrik Laine unassisted | 1–1 | 30% → 53% |
| P2 15:59 | CBJ | Oliver Bjorkstrand from Sean Kuraly, Vladislav Gavrikov | 1–2 | 53% → 76% |
| P2 16:20 | CBJ | Justin Danforth from Max Domi, Sean Kuraly | 1–3 | 76% → 90% |
| P3 3:49 | LAK | Dustin Brown unassisted | 2–3 | 7% → 21% |
| P3 16:14 | LAK | Viktor Arvidsson from Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty | 3–3 | 10% → 49% |
| OT 4:00 | LAK | Viktor Arvidsson from Phillip Danault | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 18:07 | 3 | +2.61 | +0.25 | +2.34 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dustin Brown R | 12:41 | 1 | +0.94 | +0.03 | +0.89 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Mikey Anderson D | 23:59 | +0.09 | +0.15 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 19:00 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.22 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Tobias Bjornfot D | 12:08 | +0.02 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Lemieux L | 1:35 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 13:10 | −0.01 | +0.08 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan C | 16:09 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 11:15 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Olli Maatta D | 20:06 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Durzi D | 16:20 | −0.11 | +0.15 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 16:51 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 21:57 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 21:03 | −0.17 | −0.08 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 23:17 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.07 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Quinton Byfield R | 14:58 | −0.23 | −0.03 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 27:39 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.09 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Phillip Danault C | 19:45 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.30 | −0.72 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 64:00 | −0.91 |
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 19:17 | 1 | +0.65 | +0.05 | +0.60 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Danforth R | 14:29 | 1 | +0.61 | −0.06 | +0.69 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrik Laine L | 21:14 | 1 | +0.36 | −0.12 | +0.48 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Max Domi C | 14:21 | 1 | +0.15 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jakub Voracek R | 19:40 | +0.02 | +0.16 | −0.19 | +0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Emil Bemstrom C | 8:42 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 16:44 | 2 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Jack Roslovic C | 11:57 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Egor Chinakhov R | 8:45 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Gavin Bayreuther D | 11:32 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 21:20 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 25:07 | −0.17 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Carlsson D | 12:16 | −0.18 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Werenski D | 32:51 | −0.19 | +0.18 | −0.40 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Sillinger C | 11:55 | −0.22 | +0.02 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Gustav Nyquist R | 19:02 | −0.27 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dean Kukan D | 19:26 | −0.34 | −0.30 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Boone Jenner C | 21:28 | −0.37 | −0.20 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins G | 63:54 | −0.72 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.