DET beat ANA 2–1 in overtime. DET also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 1.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jordan Oesterle scored at 2:11 of overtime, moving DET’s win probability from 52% to 100%. John Gibson saved 1.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 19:22 | DET | Dylan Larkin from Filip Zadina, Gustav Lindstrom | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P2 2:29 | ANA | Rickard Rakell from Adam Henrique | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| OT 2:11 | DET | Jordan Oesterle from Dylan Larkin | 1–2 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell R | 19:00 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.31 | +0.75 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 15:25 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 16:26 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Grant C | 13:00 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Maxime Comtois L | 17:44 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joshua Mahura D | 21:42 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Simon Benoit D | 14:39 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 9:27 | −0.08 | +0.05 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 15:02 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Sam Steel C | 9:28 | −0.15 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Adam Henrique C | 16:32 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.11 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Jamie Drysdale D | 20:50 | −0.18 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 16:15 | −0.26 | −0.28 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 10:39 | −0.31 | −0.14 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Getzlaf C | 19:21 | −0.34 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | −0.08 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 26:18 | −0.36 | −0.14 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 18:29 | −0.47 | −0.20 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 22:16 | −0.50 | −0.36 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 62:11 | +1.10 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Larkin C | 21:07 | 1 | 1 | +1.00 | +0.36 | +0.43 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 |
| Jordan Oesterle D | 24:37 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.09 | +0.76 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Moritz Seider D | 25:35 | +0.34 | +0.37 | −0.05 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lucas Raymond L | 19:15 | +0.22 | +0.34 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Pius Suter C | 18:35 | +0.17 | +0.17 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Marc Staal D | 17:27 | +0.13 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 9:36 | +0.10 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Givani Smith R | 7:49 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 12:49 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 20:35 | −0.03 | +0.33 | −0.36 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Leddy D | 13:58 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Erne L | 15:33 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robby Fabbri C | 19:59 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Gustav Lindstrom D | 18:03 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Filip Hronek D | 21:11 | −0.14 | +0.35 | −0.48 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 15:56 | −0.16 | +0.16 | −0.33 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Gagner C | 10:35 | −0.27 | +0.13 | −0.40 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Filip Zadina R | 11:53 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.08 | −0.33 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic G | 62:11 | +0.41 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.