MIN beat CHI 4–3 in overtime. MIN also won the expected-goals battle 3.8 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Marcus Foligno scored at 4:22 of overtime, moving MIN’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–MIN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:51 | CHI | Henrik Borgstrom from Erik Gustafsson | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 17:07 | CHI | Alex DeBrincatPP from Seth Jones, Dylan Strome | 2–0 | 66% → 79% |
| P1 19:30 |  MIN | Joel Eriksson EkPP from Mats Zuccarello, Jared Spurgeon | 2–1 | 21% → 35% |
| P3 10:45 | MIN | Kirill KaprizovPP from Mats Zuccarello, Jared Spurgeon | 2–2 | 20% → 52% |
| P3 12:03 | CHI | Henrik Borgstrom from MacKenzie Entwistle, Ryan Carpenter | 3–2 | 48% → 82% |
| P3 17:56 | MIN | Kevin FialaPP from Jordan Greenway, Alex Goligoski | 3–3 | 8% → 50% |
| OT 4:22 | MIN | Marcus Foligno from Jordan Greenway, Alex Goligoski | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henrik Borgstrom C | 8:06 | 2 | +1.60 | +0.14 | +1.46 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 19:33 | 1 | +0.54 | +0.01 | +0.50 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 26:06 | +0.23 | +0.24 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 7:46 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Caleb Jones D | 7:17 | +0.06 | +0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 16:51 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Sam Lafferty C | 16:19 | +0.03 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Kirby Dach C | 17:57 | −0.00 | +0.20 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Ryan Carpenter C | 12:13 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Calvin de Haan D | 25:04 | −0.08 | +0.10 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 12:07 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Hagel L | 22:21 | −0.27 | −0.09 | −0.20 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 13:56 | −0.33 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 18:36 | −0.38 | −0.11 | −0.29 | +0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dominik Kubalik L | 12:50 | −0.39 | +0.02 | −0.39 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake McCabe D | 20:26 | −0.47 | −0.30 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 32:05 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.36 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Toews C | 16:06 | −0.78 | −0.14 | −0.27 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.37 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 64:22 | −0.37 |
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Foligno L | 21:45 | 1 | +0.99 | +0.20 | +0.79 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:31 | 1 | +0.67 | −0.06 | +0.54 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Kirill Kaprizov L | 20:41 | 1 | +0.40 | −0.04 | +0.42 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Goligoski D | 19:11 | 2 | +0.27 | +0.24 | −0.02 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Greenway L | 19:09 | 2 | +0.16 | +0.23 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Boldy L | 18:09 | +0.14 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 23:06 | 2 | +0.05 | +0.15 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Duhaime R | 6:32 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nico Sturm C | 7:51 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 22:10 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.09 | |
| Jordie Benn D | 17:49 | −0.10 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathew Dumba D | 25:31 | −0.11 | +0.09 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 14:47 | −0.20 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jon Merrill D | 15:09 | −0.20 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Dewar C | 6:47 | −0.24 | +0.06 | −0.31 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Mats Zuccarello C | 19:09 | 2 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.50 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Ryan Hartman R | 20:39 | −0.31 | −0.11 | −0.25 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 16:18 | −0.44 | −0.10 | −0.30 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.06 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kaapo Kahkonen G | 63:12 | −0.20 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.