SEA beat CHI 3–2 in a shootout. SEA also won the expected-goals battle 4.6 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Ryan Donato scored at 2:02 of the third, moving SEA’s win probability from 26% to 52%. Marc-Andre Fleury saved 3.8 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–SEA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 12:06 | CHI | Dominik Kubalik from Erik Gustafsson | 1–0 | 47% → 69% |
| P2 15:01 |  SEA | Vince Dunn from Riley Sheahan, Adam Larsson | 1–1 | 30% → 53% |
| P2 17:06 | CHI | Brandon HagelPP from Dominik Kubalik, Patrick Kane | 2–1 | 48% → 71% |
| P3 2:02 | SEA | Ryan Donato unassisted | 2–2 | 26% → 52% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Hardman L | 5:14 | +0.20 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Brandon Hagel L | 20:44 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.05 | +0.34 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Ryan Carpenter C | 13:14 | +0.07 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 18:45 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.15 | +0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 9:18 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Sam Lafferty C | 15:53 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.15 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.05 | −0.00 | ||
| Henrik Borgstrom C | 9:20 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Dominik Kubalik L | 14:51 | 1 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.13 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Riley Stillman D | 14:51 | −0.19 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jujhar Khaira L | 13:07 | −0.25 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 15:13 | −0.31 | +0.00 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake McCabe D | 19:09 | −0.40 | −0.41 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 24:01 | −0.45 | −0.44 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 23:56 | −0.46 | −0.40 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.37 | +0.07 | −0.30 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 24:40 | −0.71 | −0.36 | −0.21 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Calvin de Haan D | 24:42 | −0.88 | −0.81 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 16:38 | −0.90 | −0.86 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 25:24 | 1 | −1.08 | −0.47 | −0.18 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.36 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 65:00 | +3.84 |
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Donato C | 12:19 | 1 | +1.13 | +0.25 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.83 | |
| Mason Appleton C | 15:25 | +0.43 | +0.31 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Riley Sheahan C | 16:33 | 1 | +0.41 | +0.10 | −0.00 | +0.28 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Vince Dunn D | 20:21 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.73 | +0.17 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.37 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joonas Donskoi R | 12:48 | +0.32 | +0.13 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.31 | ||
| Carson Soucy D | 18:28 | +0.32 | +0.42 | +0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 17:57 | +0.27 | +0.77 | −0.22 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Mark Giordano D | 25:07 | +0.25 | +0.31 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 19:09 | +0.05 | +0.74 | −0.19 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.30 | ||
| Marcus Johansson L | 16:55 | +0.03 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Colin Blackwell C | 8:32 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Will Borgen D | 10:48 | −0.02 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.09 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander True C | 4:47 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 24:48 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 21:47 | −0.10 | +0.04 | −0.23 | −0.09 | +0.02 | +0.19 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Jared McCann L | 18:47 | −0.11 | +0.47 | −0.41 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Yanni Gourde C | 21:56 | −0.16 | +0.09 | −0.06 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 19:56 | −0.28 | +0.17 | −0.19 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer G | 64:20 | +1.62 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.