LAK beat PIT 6–2. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 5.1 to 3.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Mikey Anderson scored at 3:07 of the third, moving LAK’s win probability from 52% to 78%. Tristan Jarry allowed 1.4 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PIT–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:42 | PIT | Kris Letang from Dominik Simon, Brian Dumoulin | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 13:48 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Alex Iafallo | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P2 14:32 | LAK | Dustin BrownPP from Trevor Moore, Sean Durzi | 1–2 | 54% → 75% |
| P3 1:37 | PIT | Radim Zohorna from Teddy Blueger, Chad Ruhwedel | 2–2 | 22% → 48% |
| P3 3:07 | LAK | Mikey Anderson from Anze Kopitar, Adrian Kempe | 2–3 | 52% → 78% |
| P3 3:17 | LAK | Viktor Arvidsson from Trevor Moore, Drew Doughty | 2–4 | 79% → 93% |
| P3 4:30 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Alex Iafallo, Sean Durzi | 2–5 | 94% → 99% |
| P3 18:20 | LAK | Sean Durzi from Dustin Brown, Rasmus Kupari | 2–6 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radim Zohorna L | 12:17 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.03 | +0.83 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kris Letang D | 24:03 | 1 | +0.50 | −0.26 | +0.77 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Teddy Blueger C | 14:58 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Dominik Simon C | 11:05 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.10 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Marcus Pettersson D | 16:52 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kasperi Kapanen R | 15:08 | −0.08 | +0.08 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 22:46 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Marino D | 19:44 | −0.15 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Boyle C | 10:32 | −0.18 | +0.06 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Mike Matheson D | 17:09 | −0.19 | +0.12 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kasper Bjorkqvist R | 9:57 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.26 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chad Ruhwedel D | 17:32 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.07 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Drew O'Connor L | 10:44 | −0.32 | −0.03 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sidney Crosby C | 18:37 | −0.33 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.09 | ||
| Evan Rodrigues C | 19:18 | −0.49 | −0.30 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgeni Malkin C | 17:03 | −0.51 | −0.14 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Jake Guentzel C | 18:39 | −0.57 | −0.29 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Carter C | 17:50 | −0.82 | −0.02 | −0.77 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry G | 60:00 | −1.41 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anze Kopitar C | 19:43 | 2 | 1 | +1.76 | +0.18 | +1.45 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.10 |
| Mikey Anderson D | 19:20 | 1 | +1.03 | +0.16 | +0.88 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Durzi D | 17:17 | 1 | 2 | +0.75 | −0.03 | +0.81 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 19:05 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.15 | +0.50 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 23:40 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.22 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Phillip Danault C | 17:51 | +0.17 | +0.22 | −0.23 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 19:32 | 2 | +0.08 | +0.20 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dustin Brown R | 11:24 | 1 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Olli Maatta D | 19:04 | −0.04 | +0.11 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 11:11 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 20:23 | −0.11 | +0.14 | −0.26 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 10:53 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 12:14 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tobias Bjornfot D | 15:11 | −0.21 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Fagemo L | 11:54 | −0.25 | −0.10 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 11:59 | −0.30 | −0.05 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 17:18 | 2 | −0.48 | +0.21 | −0.70 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 19:40 | 1 | −0.52 | +0.18 | −0.69 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 60:00 | +1.06 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.