BOS beat MTL 3–2 in overtime. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 4.4 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Brad Marchand scored at 0:34 of overtime, moving BOS’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Jake Allen saved 1.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–MTL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:21 | BOS | Brad Marchand from Erik Haula, Connor Clifton | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 8:49 | MTL | David Savard from Alexander Romanov, Paul Byron | 1–1 | 32% → 53% |
| P3 1:13 | MTL | Joel ArmiaSH unassisted | 1–2 | 51% → 77% |
| P3 17:01 | BOS | Connor Clifton from Craig Smith, Charlie Coyle | 2–2 | 8% → 49% |
| OT 0:34 | BOS | Brad Marchand from Erik Haula | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Marchand L | 21:10 | 2 | +1.26 | +0.29 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Clifton D | 16:15 | 1 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.06 | +0.76 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Erik Haula L | 14:20 | 2 | +0.40 | +0.55 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 19:36 | +0.29 | +0.48 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Craig Smith C | 14:08 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.24 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 16:15 | +0.16 | +0.45 | −0.29 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 19:36 | +0.14 | +0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Nosek L | 13:02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 11:45 | +0.00 | +0.10 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Reilly D | 20:23 | −0.04 | +0.05 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 24:17 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.27 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Forbort D | 14:08 | −0.15 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trent Frederic C | 11:42 | −0.16 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Curtis Lazar C | 12:14 | −0.21 | +0.05 | −0.27 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 19:17 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.08 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Taylor Hall L | 17:13 | −0.27 | −0.04 | −0.28 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 17:14 | −0.31 | −0.04 | −0.32 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Studnicka C | 14:49 | −0.39 | +0.35 | −0.73 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 60:34 | −0.02 |
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Armia R | 15:21 | 1 | +0.53 | −0.00 | +0.54 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| David Savard D | 19:11 | 1 | +0.50 | −0.05 | +0.71 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Pezzetta L | 6:05 | +0.07 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Wideman D | 14:18 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Suzuki C | 20:27 | −0.03 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.06 | ||
| Jeff Petry D | 20:57 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Laurent Dauphin C | 12:09 | −0.14 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Corey Schueneman D | 18:57 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rem Pitlick C | 15:47 | −0.15 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Caufield R | 17:01 | −0.17 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Drouin L | 13:57 | −0.24 | +0.02 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Josh Anderson R | 17:03 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 23:00 | −0.26 | −0.23 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Hoffman C | 16:41 | −0.27 | −0.13 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 15:20 | −0.28 | +0.01 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Jake Evans C | 13:33 | −0.31 | −0.27 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Paul Byron L | 12:43 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.19 | −0.23 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Alexander Romanov D | 20:54 | 1 | −0.79 | −0.37 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.37 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 60:34 | +1.42 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.