SJS beat DET 3–2 in overtime. SJS also won the expected-goals battle 4.0 to 1.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Logan Couture scored at 1:00 of overtime, moving SJS’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Alex Nedeljkovic saved 1.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DET–SJS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 14:24 | SJS | Timo MeierPP from Jonathan Dahlen, Brent Burns | 0–1 | 54% → 71% |
| P2 19:38 | DET | Tyler BertuzziPP from Filip Hronek, Moritz Seider | 1–1 | 29% → 49% |
| P3 1:48 | DET | Nick Leddy from Filip Hronek, Tyler Bertuzzi | 2–1 | 48% → 74% |
| P3 3:18 | SJS | Jeffrey Viel from Brent Burns | 2–2 | 26% → 52% |
| OT 1:00 | SJS | Logan Couture from Brent Burns, Jonathan Dahlen | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 23:36 | 1 | 1 | +0.51 | −0.34 | +0.68 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| Nick Leddy D | 22:16 | 1 | +0.51 | −0.38 | +0.92 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Riley Barber R | 0:53 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Erne L | 15:21 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Lindstrom D | 17:17 | −0.08 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Moritz Seider D | 19:07 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Rasmussen C | 14:50 | −0.14 | −0.05 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 17:22 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Oesterle D | 22:28 | −0.24 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 12:04 | −0.25 | −0.10 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 24:23 | 2 | −0.28 | −0.45 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Gagner C | 10:56 | −0.29 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.04 | ||
| Pius Suter C | 18:00 | −0.29 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Filip Zadina R | 16:56 | −0.30 | −0.19 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Givani Smith R | 8:18 | −0.33 | −0.09 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc Staal D | 14:27 | −0.42 | −0.17 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Lucas Raymond L | 20:43 | −0.65 | −0.40 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Robby Fabbri C | 19:41 | −1.05 | −0.58 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic G | 61:00 | +1.35 |
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Couture C | 20:12 | 1 | +0.92 | +0.44 | +0.52 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Jeffrey Viel L | 8:52 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.06 | +0.74 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Timo Meier R | 19:03 | 1 | +0.71 | +0.23 | +0.29 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Brent Burns D | 27:12 | 3 | +0.41 | +0.52 | −0.15 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Raska R | 6:24 | +0.22 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mario Ferraro D | 21:16 | +0.21 | +0.22 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaycob Megna D | 19:42 | +0.20 | +0.23 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Merkley D | 14:53 | +0.18 | +0.20 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 10:45 | +0.14 | +0.16 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Merkley R | 9:32 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Erik Karlsson D | 24:43 | −0.04 | +0.21 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Nieto L | 14:01 | −0.04 | +0.10 | −0.12 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jasper Weatherby C | 13:29 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Alexander Barabanov L | 19:35 | −0.15 | +0.24 | −0.37 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Cogliano C | 12:45 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Tomas Hertl C | 21:43 | −0.20 | +0.30 | −0.34 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.05 | ||
| Noah Gregor L | 15:22 | −0.24 | +0.23 | −0.45 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Dahlen C | 17:39 | 2 | −0.29 | +0.39 | −0.47 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill G | 60:53 | −0.13 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.