SJS beat PHI 3–2 in overtime. SJS also won the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 2.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Tomas Hertl scored at 0:24 of overtime, moving SJS’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SJS–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 1:06 | PHI | James van Riemsdyk from Oskar Lindblom, Kevin Hayes | 0–1 | 52% → 78% |
| P3 6:47 | PHI | James van RiemsdykPP from Cam York, Cam Atkinson | 0–2 | 81% → 95% |
| P3 7:47 | SJS | Tomas Hertl from Timo Meier, Brent Burns | 1–2 | 5% → 19% |
| P3 14:29 | SJS | Tomas Hertl from Timo Meier, Brent Burns | 2–2 | 12% → 49% |
| OT 0:24 | SJS | Tomas Hertl from Brent Burns | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Hertl C | 23:27 | 3 | +2.28 | +0.28 | +1.80 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Brent Burns D | 29:35 | 3 | +0.19 | +0.28 | −0.15 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mario Ferraro D | 25:33 | +0.16 | +0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Meloche D | 15:39 | +0.09 | +0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 15:11 | +0.08 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Barabanov L | 20:59 | +0.08 | +0.25 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Gregor L | 17:52 | +0.02 | +0.13 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Jonah Gadjovich L | 1:07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Merkley D | 15:01 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Reedy C | 12:17 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Nick Merkley R | 12:46 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jasper Weatherby C | 15:32 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jonathan Dahlen C | 13:31 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.24 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Timo Meier R | 21:59 | 2 | −0.29 | +0.28 | −0.59 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jaycob Megna D | 15:34 | −0.30 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeffrey Viel L | 9:28 | −0.32 | +0.03 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Matt Nieto L | 16:55 | −0.35 | −0.13 | −0.18 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Andrew Cogliano C | 15:55 | −0.39 | −0.18 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill G | 60:24 | +0.93 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James van Riemsdyk L | 16:09 | 2 | +1.31 | +0.01 | +1.31 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Connauton D | 13:47 | +0.05 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jackson Cates C | 13:07 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 12:20 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Justin Braun D | 22:25 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Max Willman C | 12:17 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 17:43 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Seeler D | 23:01 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 11:39 | −0.11 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 22:07 | −0.14 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 23:59 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.15 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Brown C | 13:03 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.35 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Keith Yandle D | 12:19 | −0.18 | −0.08 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 19:41 | −0.20 | −0.04 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Gerry Mayhew C | 11:16 | −0.29 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Zack MacEwen C | 10:55 | −0.30 | −0.02 | −0.26 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 20:24 | −0.69 | −0.09 | −0.39 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 21:00 | 1 | −0.98 | −0.17 | −0.80 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Jones G | 60:24 | +0.72 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.