CBJ beat NSH 4–3 in a shootout. CBJ also won the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Alexandre Texier scored at 13:33 of the third, moving CBJ’s win probability from 16% to 51%. David Rittich allowed 1.1 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NSH–CBJ | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:50 | NSH | Michael McCarron from Matt Luff, Philip Tomasino | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 6:26 |  CBJ | Boone Jenner from Vladislav Gavrikov, Adam Boqvist | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P2 0:24 | CBJ | Patrik Laine from Jakub Voracek, Boone Jenner | 1–2 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 15:31 | NSH | Nick Cousins from Matt Duchene, Dante Fabbro | 2–2 | 25% → 47% |
| P2 16:06 | NSH | Ryan JohansenPP from Mikael Granlund, Matt Duchene | 3–2 | 48% → 71% |
| P3 13:33 | CBJ | Alexandre Texier unassisted | 3–3 | 16% → 51% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikael Granlund C | 22:18 | 1 | +1.04 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.05 | +1.05 | |
| Michael McCarron C | 13:53 | 1 | +0.88 | +0.14 | +0.74 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Nick Cousins C | 15:37 | 1 | +0.72 | −0.01 | +0.74 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Mark Borowiecki D | 16:04 | +0.19 | +0.13 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Johansen C | 15:50 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.03 | +0.49 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.45 | |
| Alexandre Carrier D | 23:07 | −0.08 | +0.12 | −0.21 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dante Fabbro D | 18:02 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Luff R | 8:51 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Yakov Trenin C | 16:50 | −0.11 | +0.21 | −0.31 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ben Harpur D | 16:40 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philip Tomasino C | 11:44 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Matt Benning D | 20:47 | −0.16 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Duchene C | 18:24 | 2 | −0.38 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.36 | |
| Luke Kunin C | 16:10 | −0.41 | −0.11 | −0.27 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 14:50 | −0.42 | +0.01 | −0.22 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Filip Forsberg L | 18:21 | −0.63 | +0.02 | −0.36 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.30 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 15:38 | −0.66 | −0.03 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.45 | ||
| Mattias Ekholm D | 28:41 | −0.75 | −0.32 | −0.29 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| David Rittich G | 64:57 | −1.13 |
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Texier L | 20:08 | 1 | +1.76 | +0.01 | +0.71 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.05 | |
| Gustav Nyquist R | 21:01 | +1.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +1.05 | ||
| Boone Jenner C | 22:20 | 1 | 1 | +0.55 | +0.21 | +0.39 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 |
| Zach Werenski D | 28:38 | +0.30 | +0.28 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Danforth R | 7:49 | +0.13 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 24:59 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.09 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Emil Bemstrom C | 12:11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Cole Sillinger C | 11:08 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Adam Boqvist D | 18:55 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.14 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 18:28 | −0.09 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 17:47 | −0.09 | +0.06 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Carlsson D | 11:10 | −0.10 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Roslovic C | 11:55 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Patrik Laine L | 21:57 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.28 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.36 | |
| Jakub Voracek R | 22:25 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.25 | −0.11 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.45 | |
| Max Domi C | 13:18 | −0.24 | −0.10 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jake Bean D | 20:31 | −0.40 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Egor Chinakhov R | 9:55 | −0.42 | −0.00 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.30 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins G | 64:36 | +0.95 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.