PHI beat SEA 3–2 in overtime. PHI lost the expected-goals battle 1.5 to 2.7 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Ivan Provorov scored at 2:14 of overtime, moving PHI’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Philipp Grubauer allowed 1.4 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–SEA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:44 | PHI | James van RiemsdykPP from Claude Giroux, Travis Konecny | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 12:46 |  SEA | Yanni GourdePP from Carson Soucy, Morgan Geekie | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P3 14:32 | SEA | Jeremy Lauzon from Adam Larsson, Calle Jarnkrok | 1–2 | 51% → 88% |
| P3 14:47 | PHI | James van Riemsdyk from Travis Sanheim, Rasmus Ristolainen | 2–2 | 12% → 49% |
| OT 2:14 | PHI | Ivan Provorov from Kevin Hayes, Claude Giroux | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James van Riemsdyk L | 19:35 | 2 | +1.51 | −0.08 | +1.59 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Provorov D | 27:04 | 1 | +0.67 | −0.07 | +0.76 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Keith Yandle D | 14:56 | +0.16 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Zack MacEwen C | 10:25 | +0.07 | +0.03 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 21:17 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 21:59 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Max Willman C | 12:34 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Connauton D | 12:47 | −0.09 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Claude Giroux R | 20:56 | 2 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.12 | |
| Morgan Frost C | 12:24 | −0.16 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 14:19 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.03 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Hayes R | 15:51 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.06 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Patrick Brown C | 14:41 | −0.20 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 22:08 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Braun D | 19:42 | −0.24 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Gerry Mayhew C | 9:26 | −0.26 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 14:20 | −0.28 | −0.28 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 16:50 | −0.34 | −0.13 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Jones G | 62:04 | +0.72 |
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 19:36 | 1 | +0.65 | −0.03 | +0.89 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Yanni Gourde C | 21:08 | 1 | +0.61 | −0.05 | +0.69 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Jared McCann L | 17:03 | +0.29 | +0.12 | −0.03 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 20:59 | +0.22 | +0.21 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 16:34 | +0.22 | +0.07 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 21:49 | +0.11 | +0.28 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Giordano D | 22:23 | +0.03 | +0.16 | −0.17 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander True C | 6:58 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Carson Soucy D | 16:22 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.06 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marcus Johansson L | 15:26 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Joonas Donskoi R | 18:35 | −0.07 | +0.05 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Borgen D | 13:31 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 22:38 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 19:10 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.19 | −0.29 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Morgan Geekie C | 9:10 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.04 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Colin Blackwell C | 14:27 | −0.23 | −0.02 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Max McCormick L | 8:18 | −0.28 | +0.05 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 18:31 | −0.42 | +0.11 | −0.39 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer G | 62:03 | −1.38 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.