VAN beat SJS 5–4 in overtime. VAN also won the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: J.T. Miller scored on the power play at 2:39 of overtime, moving VAN’s win probability from 50% to 100%. James Reimer allowed 2.1 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VAN–SJS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 14:54 | VAN | Brock Boeser from J.T. Miller, Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 17:40 | VAN | Quinn Hughes unassisted | 2–0 | 65% → 79% |
| P2 3:35 |  SJS | Logan Couture from Matt Nieto, Noah Gregor | 2–1 | 18% → 34% |
| P2 10:49 | VAN | Juho Lammikko from Kyle Burroughs | 3–1 | 69% → 85% |
| P2 14:03 | SJS | Timo MeierPP from Tomas Hertl, Alexander Barabanov | 3–2 | 14% → 30% |
| P3 0:45 | SJS | Timo MeierPP from Tomas Hertl, Alexander Barabanov | 3–3 | 28% → 52% |
| P3 14:23 | VAN | Conor Garland from Elias Pettersson, Kyle Burroughs | 4–3 | 49% → 86% |
| P3 19:59 | SJS | Alexander BarabanovPP from Timo Meier, Brent Burns | 4–4 | 3% → 52% |
| OT 2:39 | VAN | J.T. MillerPP from Elias Pettersson, Quinn Hughes | 5–4 | 50% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Hughes D | 25:04 | 1 | 1 | +0.96 | +0.07 | +0.89 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Juho Lammikko C | 13:22 | 1 | +0.85 | +0.08 | +0.78 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Conor Garland R | 16:47 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.19 | +0.57 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brock Boeser R | 18:59 | 1 | +0.52 | −0.24 | +0.75 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Elias Pettersson C | 19:05 | 2 | +0.43 | +0.25 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.03 | |
| Kyle Burroughs D | 12:21 | 2 | +0.13 | +0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vasily Podkolzin R | 10:00 | +0.07 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Hamonic D | 16:08 | +0.05 | +0.15 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Pearson L | 14:02 | +0.02 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Matthew Highmore C | 10:58 | +0.00 | +0.11 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 17:18 | −0.13 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Motte C | 15:52 | −0.17 | +0.05 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 19:36 | 1 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.25 | +0.40 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.37 | +0.02 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 23:15 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.31 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Myers D | 22:30 | −0.20 | −0.12 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 10:18 | −0.27 | −0.09 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 22:35 | −0.48 | −0.39 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Nils Hoglander L | 11:49 | −0.73 | +0.06 | −0.79 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko G | 62:16 | −1.19 |
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Meier R | 20:19 | 2 | 1 | +1.11 | +0.15 | +1.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Alexander Barabanov L | 18:27 | 1 | 2 | +0.81 | +0.27 | +0.56 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Logan Couture C | 20:29 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.77 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.09 | |
| Tomas Hertl C | 23:27 | 2 | +0.20 | +0.19 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Ryan Merkley D | 14:02 | +0.16 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Cogliano C | 13:31 | +0.11 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Dahlen C | 10:38 | +0.08 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Nieto L | 14:27 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.02 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jake Middleton D | 19:23 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Gregor L | 15:38 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Bonino C | 14:26 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jonah Gadjovich L | 8:18 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Meloche D | 19:33 | −0.14 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mario Ferraro D | 22:29 | −0.15 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 14:18 | −0.18 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lane Pederson C | 10:47 | −0.21 | −0.06 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brent Burns D | 27:25 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.10 | −0.37 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jeffrey Viel L | 10:02 | −0.51 | −0.15 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| James Reimer G | 60:57 | −2.13 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.