WPG beat NSH 5–2. WPG also won the expected-goals battle 3.8 to 2.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Blake Wheeler scored on the power play at 10:53 of the third, moving WPG’s win probability from 50% to 82%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WPG–NSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:26 |  NSH | Mikael Granlund from Filip Forsberg, Alexandre Carrier | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 6:19 | NSH | Matt DuchenePP from Roman Josi, Ryan Johansen | 0–2 | 70% → 83% |
| P1 7:44 | WPG | Mark Scheifele from Ville Heinola, Blake Wheeler | 1–2 | 17% → 30% |
| P2 9:58 | WPG | Kyle ConnorPP from Blake Wheeler, Josh Morrissey | 2–2 | 27% → 47% |
| P3 10:53 | WPG | Blake WheelerPP from Mark Scheifele, Josh Morrissey | 3–2 | 50% → 82% |
| P3 11:52 | WPG | Pierre-Luc DuboisPP from Blake Wheeler, Kyle Connor | 4–2 | 83% → 97% |
| P3 16:46 | WPG | Blake WheelerEN from Mark Scheifele | 5–2 | 99% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Wheeler R | 21:55 | 2 | 3 | +0.91 | +0.26 | +0.08 | +0.40 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| Mark Scheifele C | 22:41 | 1 | 2 | +0.46 | +0.23 | +0.37 | +0.12 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.05 |
| Ville Heinola D | 13:28 | 1 | +0.44 | +0.06 | −0.04 | +0.23 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Connor L | 25:46 | 1 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.25 | +0.14 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Josh Morrissey D | 23:31 | 2 | +0.30 | +0.40 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 21:42 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.28 | +0.25 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Evgeny Svechnikov L | 4:05 | +0.19 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Schmidt D | 19:49 | +0.18 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kristian Reichel C | 10:21 | +0.17 | +0.04 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan DeMelo D | 17:24 | +0.05 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dominic Toninato C | 7:14 | −0.01 | +0.06 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 11:35 | −0.02 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Cole Perfetti C | 14:58 | −0.05 | +0.05 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jansen Harkins C | 6:46 | −0.10 | +0.06 | −0.14 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Stastny C | 15:32 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 18:43 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Neal Pionk D | 18:41 | −0.15 | +0.13 | −0.02 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 18:11 | −0.17 | +0.04 | −0.18 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 60:00 | +0.62 |
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikael Granlund C | 20:28 | 1 | +0.24 | −0.11 | +0.38 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Duchene C | 16:13 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.07 | +0.22 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mattias Ekholm D | 22:50 | +0.12 | +0.02 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Forsberg L | 19:20 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.01 | −0.13 | +0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexandre Carrier D | 20:51 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Cousins C | 6:29 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dante Fabbro D | 17:02 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philip Tomasino C | 10:25 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Johansen C | 16:31 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.15 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Roman Josi D | 22:55 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.05 | −0.08 | +0.09 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Colton Sissons C | 15:52 | −0.21 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 12:41 | −0.23 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McCarron C | 12:02 | −0.26 | −0.04 | −0.14 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Mark Borowiecki D | 15:06 | −0.26 | −0.28 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Kunin C | 9:21 | −0.27 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Yakov Trenin C | 15:32 | −0.32 | −0.16 | −0.14 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Benning D | 18:04 | −0.33 | −0.30 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 14:22 | −0.47 | −0.18 | −0.07 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros G | 59:05 | −0.24 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.