PHI beat OTT 4–3 in overtime. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Travis Sanheim scored at 1:35 of overtime, moving PHI’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | OTT–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:19 | PHI | Claude Giroux from Oskar Lindblom | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 7:32 | PHI | Oskar Lindblom from Travis Konecny, Ivan Provorov | 0–2 | 70% → 83% |
| P2 2:09 | OTT | Tim Stützle from Alex Formenton, Connor Brown | 1–2 | 14% → 28% |
| P2 3:22 | OTT | Alex FormentonSH unassisted | 2–2 | 27% → 46% |
| P3 13:43 | OTT | Artem Zub from Dylan Gambrell, Zachary Sanford | 3–2 | 49% → 85% |
| P3 14:35 | PHI | Joel Farabee from Sean Couturier, Travis Konecny | 3–3 | 14% → 51% |
| OT 1:35 | PHI | Travis Sanheim from Cam Atkinson | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
OTT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Zub D | 27:05 | 1 | +0.92 | +0.17 | +0.74 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tim Stützle C | 16:13 | 1 | +0.71 | −0.08 | +0.67 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.06 | |
| Alex Formenton L | 14:40 | 1 | 1 | +0.65 | +0.08 | +0.57 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Connor Brown R | 16:03 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.23 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Holden D | 20:19 | +0.19 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Gambrell C | 10:57 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Austin Watson L | 13:36 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Victor Mete D | 11:58 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dillon Heatherington D | 5:48 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zachary Sanford L | 10:40 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.14 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Ennis R | 12:13 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Tierney C | 11:59 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Nick Paul L | 15:35 | −0.17 | +0.09 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Josh Norris C | 18:48 | −0.31 | −0.15 | −0.18 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Jacob Bernard-Docker D | 19:06 | −0.35 | −0.02 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Thomas Chabot D | 35:39 | −0.41 | −0.15 | −0.27 | +0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brady Tkachuk L | 18:23 | −0.44 | −0.22 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Drake Batherson R | 19:43 | −0.87 | −0.35 | −0.34 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg G | 61:35 | −0.41 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Farabee L | 19:13 | 1 | +1.20 | +0.20 | +0.84 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 23:19 | 1 | +0.99 | +0.28 | +0.71 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Claude Giroux R | 18:07 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +0.50 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Oskar Lindblom L | 17:21 | 1 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.07 | +0.68 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Ivan Provorov D | 26:25 | 1 | +0.15 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Brown C | 11:40 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 19:44 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.16 | −0.20 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 19:42 | 2 | −0.08 | +0.15 | −0.24 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jackson Cates C | 5:53 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 15:22 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Kevin Connauton D | 12:05 | −0.14 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Braun D | 20:29 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Zack MacEwen C | 6:04 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 13:55 | −0.24 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keith Yandle D | 13:49 | −0.25 | −0.18 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 21:48 | −0.39 | +0.10 | −0.49 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 15:48 | −0.51 | −0.19 | −0.28 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 20:32 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.09 | −0.73 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Jones G | 61:04 | −0.32 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.