VGK beat NYR 3–2 in a shootout. VGK also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Dylan Coghlan scored at 14:44 of the third, moving VGK’s win probability from 12% to 49%. Laurent Brossoit saved 1.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–NYR | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:49 | VGK | Brett Howden from William Carrier, Keegan Kolesar | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 0:17 |  NYR | Mika Zibanejad from Chris Kreider, K'Andre Miller | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 10:25 | NYR | Chris KreiderPP from Mika Zibanejad, Ryan Strome | 1–2 | 54% → 75% |
| P3 14:44 | VGK | Dylan Coghlan from Nicolas Hague, Brett Howden | 2–2 | 12% → 49% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 16:01 | +1.07 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +1.05 | ||
| Dylan Coghlan D | 16:28 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.04 | +0.84 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brett Howden C | 12:17 | 1 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.01 | +0.59 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 |
| Nicolas Hague D | 15:27 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.17 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Keegan Kolesar R | 12:35 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Zach Whitecloud D | 19:29 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Stone R | 20:26 | −0.04 | +0.04 | −0.14 | +0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Mattias Janmark C | 12:52 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 15:50 | −0.07 | +0.15 | −0.23 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Shea Theodore D | 27:39 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Carrier L | 13:13 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.11 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Brayden McNabb D | 18:06 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 18:19 | −0.20 | +0.03 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 26:18 | −0.21 | +0.18 | −0.25 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgenii Dadonov L | 14:45 | −0.25 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.36 | ||
| Chandler Stephenson C | 18:49 | −0.38 | −0.12 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Roy C | 14:08 | −0.67 | +0.03 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.30 | ||
| Max Pacioretty L | 18:47 | −0.70 | +0.01 | −0.69 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Laurent Brossoit G | 65:00 | +1.64 |
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kreider L | 20:35 | 1 | 1 | +0.50 | +0.06 | +0.43 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 |
| Mika Zibanejad C | 21:50 | 1 | 1 | +0.29 | −0.03 | +0.37 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.11 | −0.36 |
| Adam Fox D | 27:55 | +0.11 | +0.17 | −0.09 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Lindgren D | 22:41 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| K'Andre Miller D | 21:42 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Rooney C | 13:00 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 15:11 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Dryden Hunt L | 14:12 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Greg McKegg C | 10:24 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Libor Hajek D | 13:16 | −0.11 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Reaves R | 10:33 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Barclay Goodrow C | 15:53 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Patrik Nemeth D | 12:45 | −0.16 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Julien Gauthier R | 13:06 | −0.21 | +0.15 | −0.34 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Filip Chytil C | 15:18 | −0.29 | −0.01 | −0.27 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 21:57 | −0.35 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.30 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 23:59 | −0.43 | −0.25 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 18:45 | 1 | −0.88 | −0.23 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.45 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandar Georgiev G | 64:58 | +0.58 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.