MTL beat PHI 3–2 in a shootout. MTL also won the expected-goals battle 4.3 to 3.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Laurent Dauphin scored at 14:21 of the third, moving MTL’s win probability from 14% to 51%. Cayden Primeau saved 2.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–MTL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:20 |  MTL | Artturi Lehkonen from Brett Kulak, Alexander Romanov | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P2 2:20 | PHI | Max Willman from James van Riemsdyk, Kevin Hayes | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 19:00 | PHI | Jackson Cates from Patrick Brown, Travis Sanheim | 2–1 | 48% → 72% |
| P3 14:21 | MTL | Laurent Dauphin from Ben Chiarot, David Savard | 2–2 | 14% → 51% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Cates C | 7:27 | 1 | +0.78 | −0.08 | +0.85 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Max Willman C | 12:55 | 1 | +0.51 | −0.00 | +0.52 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 23:42 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.47 | −0.41 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 22:29 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Brown C | 10:42 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Justin Braun D | 22:08 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 25:36 | −0.05 | +0.17 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.04 | −0.30 | ||
| Keith Yandle D | 16:16 | −0.11 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Connauton D | 13:08 | −0.12 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 15:55 | −0.25 | −0.02 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 14:58 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.15 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 16:54 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.04 | −0.36 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Ivan Provorov D | 25:09 | −0.31 | −0.29 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 20:05 | −0.32 | +0.31 | −0.46 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Zack MacEwen C | 7:49 | −0.38 | −0.05 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 20:20 | −0.41 | −0.07 | −0.33 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 18:21 | −0.68 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.45 | ||
| Claude Giroux R | 19:31 | −0.75 | −0.17 | −0.31 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | −0.36 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 64:44 | +2.05 |
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Savard D | 22:37 | 1 | +0.43 | +0.40 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Laurent Dauphin C | 17:29 | 1 | +0.40 | −0.06 | +0.51 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 15:47 | 1 | +0.40 | +0.28 | +0.09 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Ryan Poehling C | 15:02 | +0.34 | +0.23 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Brett Kulak D | 15:02 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.12 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Pezzetta L | 8:22 | +0.09 | +0.06 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Drouin L | 19:02 | +0.08 | −0.27 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.70 | ||
| Alexander Romanov D | 24:37 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cedric Paquette C | 7:22 | +0.03 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Nick Suzuki C | 25:09 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Jake Evans C | 17:51 | −0.14 | +0.03 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 25:00 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.39 | −0.32 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jesse Ylonen R | 16:17 | −0.19 | −0.07 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Kale Clague D | 16:08 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Petry D | 21:19 | −0.53 | −0.49 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 9:12 | −0.57 | +0.14 | −0.52 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mike Hoffman C | 20:40 | −0.63 | −0.38 | −0.13 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.14 | ||
| Cole Caufield R | 16:13 | −0.76 | +0.17 | −0.75 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.17 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cayden Primeau G | 65:00 | +2.56 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.