ANA beat STL 3–2 in overtime. ANA also won the expected-goals battle 3.3 to 2.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Troy Terry scored on the power play at 3:58 of overtime, moving ANA’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 12:32 | ANA | Buddy Robinson from Nicolas Deslauriers, Sam Carrick | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 6:43 | STL | Oskar Sundqvist from Nathan Walker, Brayden Schenn | 1–1 | 33% → 53% |
| P3 7:40 | STL | Nathan Walker from Brayden Schenn | 1–2 | 52% → 81% |
| P3 13:29 | ANA | Troy Terry from Cam Fowler, Sam Steel | 2–2 | 14% → 49% |
| OT 3:58 | ANA | Troy TerryPP unassisted | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Terry R | 18:53 | 2 | +1.28 | +0.40 | +0.86 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Buddy Robinson R | 10:31 | 1 | +0.72 | +0.17 | +0.55 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Getzlaf C | 20:34 | +0.48 | +0.39 | −0.04 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 24:55 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.51 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 18:36 | +0.19 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 16:17 | +0.14 | +0.11 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Sam Steel C | 17:10 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.21 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Simon Benoit D | 12:59 | +0.06 | +0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 10:51 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.16 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Josh Manson D | 20:39 | −0.05 | +0.13 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 24:10 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 11:59 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.17 | −0.21 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Drysdale D | 21:53 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 18:30 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Grant C | 16:19 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 16:24 | −0.23 | −0.13 | −0.08 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Sonny Milano L | 13:53 | −0.27 | −0.05 | −0.23 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rickard Rakell R | 15:21 | −0.40 | −0.16 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz G | 63:58 | +0.22 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 15:59 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.06 | +0.86 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Nathan Walker L | 15:31 | 1 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.64 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Robert Bortuzzo D | 13:08 | −0.04 | +0.03 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Parayko D | 27:50 | −0.05 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 16:28 | 2 | −0.07 | +0.06 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Dakota Joshua C | 8:03 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Niko Mikkola D | 23:08 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Peca C | 9:32 | −0.12 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 22:22 | −0.17 | −0.36 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 17:52 | −0.19 | +0.03 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan Brown C | 14:46 | −0.20 | +0.05 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marco Scandella D | 21:14 | −0.33 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Perunovich D | 14:42 | −0.35 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Torey Krug D | 21:57 | −0.42 | −0.27 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 22:05 | −0.56 | −0.22 | −0.28 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 21:14 | −0.60 | −0.44 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 24:15 | −0.77 | −0.50 | −0.28 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Gillies G | 63:46 | +0.43 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.