PHI beat ARI 5–3. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Patrick Brown scored at 11:21 of the second, moving PHI’s win probability from 47% to 69%. Karel Vejmelka allowed 1.8 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–ARI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:14 | PHI | James van Riemsdyk unassisted | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 1:53 | ARI | Jay Beagle from Antoine Roussel, Loui Eriksson | 1–1 | 38% → 53% |
| P2 5:26 | PHI | Scott Laughton from Travis Konecny, Sean Couturier | 2–1 | 47% → 67% |
| P2 10:38 | ARI | Nick Schmaltz from Cam Dineen, Barrett Hayton | 2–2 | 31% → 53% |
| P2 11:21 | PHI | Patrick Brown unassisted | 3–2 | 47% → 69% |
| P2 12:34 | PHI | James van RiemsdykPP from Travis Konecny, Keith Yandle | 4–2 | 70% → 85% |
| P3 7:50 | PHI | Claude Giroux from Cam Atkinson, Morgan Frost | 5–2 | 94% → 99% |
| P3 11:35 | ARI | Lawson Crouse from Nick Schmaltz, Cam Dineen | 5–3 | 0% → 3% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Giroux R | 18:05 | 1 | +1.06 | +0.11 | +0.70 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.04 | |
| Patrick Brown C | 12:10 | 1 | +0.90 | +0.05 | +0.82 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Scott Laughton C | 16:28 | 1 | +0.72 | +0.13 | +0.62 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 15:55 | 2 | +0.65 | −0.13 | +1.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Ivan Provorov D | 23:13 | +0.26 | +0.17 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 13:58 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Justin Braun D | 20:22 | +0.12 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 16:37 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 21:51 | 1 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.24 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 19:39 | 2 | −0.03 | +0.15 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Connauton D | 13:03 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 21:14 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zack MacEwen C | 6:50 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Max Willman C | 13:29 | −0.18 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 10:57 | −0.22 | −0.04 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 14:41 | −0.25 | −0.15 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 20:56 | −0.36 | +0.02 | −0.37 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keith Yandle D | 16:32 | 1 | −0.40 | +0.03 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Jones G | 60:00 | −0.53 |
ARI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Beagle C | 10:18 | 1 | +0.91 | +0.13 | +0.72 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Nick Schmaltz C | 18:15 | 1 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.01 | +0.70 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Lawson Crouse L | 20:02 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.01 | +0.63 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Ilya Lyubushkin D | 16:14 | +0.16 | +0.17 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Barrett Hayton C | 18:45 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.07 | |
| Antoine Roussel L | 12:17 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Andrew Ladd L | 8:26 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Fischer R | 13:18 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Phil Kessel R | 18:01 | −0.18 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Capobianco D | 16:12 | −0.21 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anton Stralman D | 20:40 | −0.22 | −0.13 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 26:40 | −0.22 | −0.13 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Boyd C | 16:36 | −0.25 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.04 | ||
| Clayton Keller R | 19:50 | −0.29 | −0.21 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Dineen D | 14:37 | 2 | −0.30 | +0.09 | −0.38 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Loui Eriksson L | 12:29 | 1 | −0.41 | +0.10 | −0.31 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Dysin Mayo D | 22:18 | −0.47 | −0.06 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Galchenyuk C | 13:01 | −0.49 | −0.13 | −0.29 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka G | 57:09 | −1.81 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.