CHI beat NYI 3–2 in a shootout. CHI lost the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 2.9 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Noah Dobson scored on the power play at 19:56 of the third, moving NYI’s win probability from 4% to 52%. Marc-Andre Fleury saved 1.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:49 | CHI | Brandon HagelPP from Alex DeBrincat, Seth Jones | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 8:03 | NYI | Jean-Gabriel PageauPP from Sebastian Aho, Mathew Barzal | 1–1 | 33% → 53% |
| P3 5:59 | CHI | Dylan Strome unassisted | 2–1 | 48% → 76% |
| P3 19:56 | NYI | Noah DobsonPP from Mathew Barzal, Josh Bailey | 2–2 | 4% → 52% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Strome C | 12:31 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.14 | +0.70 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Patrick Kane R | 21:27 | +0.68 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.83 | ||
| Brandon Hagel L | 13:51 | 1 | +0.53 | −0.28 | +0.81 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Dominik Kubalik L | 12:13 | +0.05 | +0.02 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Henrik Borgstrom C | 9:14 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ryan Carpenter C | 15:47 | +0.03 | +0.06 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Calvin de Haan D | 23:55 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josiah Slavin L | 12:53 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Ian Mitchell D | 18:38 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Reese Johnson C | 8:37 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 18:18 | −0.13 | +0.05 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kirby Dach C | 23:12 | −0.15 | +0.17 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Jujhar Khaira L | 16:36 | −0.19 | −0.07 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 14:47 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 20:23 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.05 | −0.29 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Riley Stillman D | 17:30 | −0.34 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 28:45 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.03 | −0.42 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Toews C | 18:23 | −0.56 | −0.03 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.30 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 65:00 | +1.56 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 19:50 | 1 | +0.92 | +0.04 | +0.79 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.11 | −0.00 | |
| Noah Dobson D | 26:14 | 1 | +0.64 | −0.11 | +0.55 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Pelech D | 22:26 | +0.35 | +0.34 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 13:45 | +0.21 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Josh Bailey R | 18:58 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.13 | −0.07 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Ross Johnston L | 11:09 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Andy Greene D | 17:19 | −0.05 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Parise L | 15:42 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Kieffer Bellows L | 7:46 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Austin Czarnik C | 10:05 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Zdeno Chara D | 16:01 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 22:25 | −0.15 | +0.04 | −0.14 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 17:42 | −0.20 | +0.20 | −0.40 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Sebastian Aho D | 15:51 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Scott Mayfield D | 19:19 | −0.21 | +0.19 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.37 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathew Barzal C | 25:20 | 2 | −0.38 | +0.11 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.36 | |
| Oliver Wahlstrom R | 16:58 | −0.46 | +0.03 | −0.38 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.30 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 15:42 | −0.71 | −0.05 | −0.35 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov G | 63:42 | −0.09 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.