CHI beat WSH 4–3 in a shootout. CHI lost the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 3.4 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Seth Jones scored at 11:56 of the third, moving CHI’s win probability from 15% to 48%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–WSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 19:00 | CHI | Alex DeBrincat from Patrick Kane, Seth Jones | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 1:10 | WSH | Nic Dowd from Carl Hagelin, Garnet Hathaway | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 12:57 | CHI | Dominik KubalikPP from Alex DeBrincat, Kirby Dach | 2–1 | 48% → 69% |
| P2 17:31 | WSH | Evgeny Kuznetsov from Alex Ovechkin | 2–2 | 29% → 53% |
| P3 0:57 | WSH | Garnet Hathaway from Nic Dowd | 2–3 | 52% → 77% |
| P3 11:56 | CHI | Seth Jones from Josiah Slavin, Jake McCabe | 3–3 | 15% → 48% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kane R | 25:30 | 1 | +1.08 | +0.23 | −0.09 | +0.14 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.83 | |
| Seth Jones D | 29:38 | 1 | 1 | +0.43 | +0.13 | +0.45 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 18:28 | 1 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.20 | −0.10 | +0.22 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 |
| Dominik Kubalik L | 17:32 | 1 | +0.28 | −0.25 | +0.41 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Josiah Slavin L | 10:40 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.09 | −0.21 | +0.23 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 8:09 | +0.08 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Carpenter C | 10:34 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Mike Hardman L | 8:28 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 18:05 | −0.02 | +0.09 | +0.00 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Hagel L | 17:03 | −0.08 | +0.06 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 22:06 | −0.13 | −0.34 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 12:12 | −0.18 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kalynuk D | 15:42 | −0.25 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake McCabe D | 27:39 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kirby Dach C | 19:43 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.31 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Henrik Borgstrom C | 15:49 | −0.39 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.09 | −0.00 | ||
| Jujhar Khaira L | 17:04 | −0.39 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 18:38 | −0.69 | −0.29 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | −0.30 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 65:00 | +0.64 |
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evgeny Kuznetsov C | 20:31 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.45 | +0.34 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.30 | |
| Nic Dowd C | 15:20 | 1 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.09 | +0.36 | +0.16 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.07 | −0.00 |
| Carl Hagelin L | 17:18 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.10 | −0.03 | +0.20 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Nick Jensen D | 22:39 | +0.24 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Fehérváry D | 19:33 | +0.19 | +0.18 | −0.02 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 16:22 | 1 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.05 | +0.24 | +0.05 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Dmitry Orlov D | 21:30 | +0.13 | +0.23 | +0.00 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Aliaksei Protas L | 16:29 | +0.04 | +0.20 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 18:59 | +0.03 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Ovechkin L | 19:59 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.27 | −0.13 | +0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | |
| Justin Schultz D | 18:26 | +0.00 | +0.09 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor McMichael L | 10:42 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| John Carlson D | 22:48 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.03 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Beck Malenstyn L | 9:58 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Brett Leason R | 8:57 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 19:33 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.18 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Lars Eller C | 18:05 | −0.33 | −0.25 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.00 | ||
| Daniel Sprong R | 14:02 | −0.57 | −0.12 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.36 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Vitek Vanecek G | 65:00 | −0.88 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.