BOS beat VAN 3–2. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: David Pastrnak scored on the power play at 16:36 of the third, moving BOS’s win probability from 52% to 91%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VAN–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:33 |  VAN | Tanner PearsonPP from Brock Boeser, Nils Hoglander | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 5:51 | BOS | Anton Blidh unassisted | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P2 12:31 | VAN | Conor Garland unassisted | 2–1 | 47% → 69% |
| P3 8:45 | BOS | Brad MarchandPP from Nick Foligno, Patrice Bergeron | 2–2 | 22% → 52% |
| P3 16:36 | BOS | David PastrnakPP from Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron | 2–3 | 52% → 91% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Garland R | 17:05 | 1 | +0.50 | −0.00 | +0.46 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tanner Pearson L | 16:11 | 1 | +0.40 | −0.27 | +0.70 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Tyler Motte C | 14:29 | +0.21 | +0.01 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Vasily Podkolzin R | 11:52 | +0.07 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Dowling C | 8:19 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Elias Pettersson C | 13:05 | −0.11 | +0.03 | −0.15 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 24:52 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Burroughs D | 11:55 | −0.16 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 23:47 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Chiasson R | 13:02 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinn Hughes D | 19:49 | −0.25 | −0.03 | −0.21 | +0.03 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nils Hoglander L | 15:37 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.13 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tucker Poolman D | 15:51 | −0.29 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 13:03 | −0.34 | −0.33 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 15:45 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.10 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jason Dickinson C | 11:27 | −0.38 | −0.21 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 20:58 | −0.42 | −0.14 | −0.25 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 21:25 | −0.51 | −0.08 | −0.45 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.06 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jaroslav Halak G | 57:56 | +0.25 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Blidh L | 9:36 | 1 | +1.04 | −0.01 | +0.86 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Brad Marchand L | 20:10 | 1 | 1 | +0.57 | +0.23 | +0.50 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| David Pastrnak R | 19:32 | 1 | +0.47 | +0.04 | +0.34 | +0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Carlo D | 17:10 | +0.25 | +0.08 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Hall L | 14:13 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.09 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 17:24 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.12 | −0.33 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 19:57 | −0.02 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Reilly D | 17:17 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Curtis Lazar C | 7:05 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 27:52 | −0.07 | +0.12 | −0.24 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Craig Smith C | 14:58 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Forbort D | 18:46 | −0.11 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrice Bergeron C | 19:52 | 2 | −0.12 | +0.23 | −0.35 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Charlie Coyle C | 17:26 | −0.15 | −0.15 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.11 | ||
| Karson Kuhlman C | 11:38 | −0.20 | +0.19 | −0.37 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Zboril D | 15:30 | −0.29 | +0.01 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Nosek L | 12:00 | −0.31 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.07 | ||
| Trent Frederic C | 11:50 | −0.50 | +0.13 | −0.58 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark G | 60:00 | +0.96 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.