ARI beat LAK 2–1 in overtime. ARI lost the expected-goals battle 2.6 to 4.3 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Kyle Capobianco scored at 3:24 of overtime, moving ARI’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Karel Vejmelka saved 3.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ARI–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 5:38 | LAK | Brendan Lemieux from Blake Lizotte | 0–1 | 53% → 73% |
| P3 4:44 | ARI | Travis Boyd from Shayne Gostisbehere, Clayton Keller | 1–1 | 21% → 48% |
| OT 3:24 | ARI | Kyle Capobianco from Clayton Keller, Travis Boyd | 2–1 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ARI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Capobianco D | 13:38 | 1 | +0.74 | −0.11 | +0.87 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Boyd C | 18:34 | 1 | 1 | +0.41 | −0.13 | +0.64 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 |
| Jakob Chychrun D | 27:34 | +0.05 | +0.21 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Lyubushkin D | 22:19 | −0.03 | +0.03 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jay Beagle C | 3:21 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Liam O'Brien C | 8:31 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hudson Fasching R | 8:05 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Barrett Hayton C | 20:39 | −0.11 | +0.03 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Clayton Keller R | 21:22 | 2 | −0.11 | +0.11 | −0.22 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Alex Galchenyuk C | 14:39 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Dineen D | 12:01 | −0.14 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dysin Mayo D | 22:06 | −0.21 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Dzingel C | 19:28 | −0.27 | −0.20 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Lawson Crouse L | 19:10 | −0.30 | −0.02 | −0.27 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Loui Eriksson L | 11:51 | −0.38 | −0.05 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Antoine Roussel L | 13:29 | −0.39 | −0.26 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phil Kessel R | 19:52 | −0.42 | +0.16 | −0.40 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 24:12 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.13 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka G | 62:45 | +3.61 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Lemieux L | 10:58 | 1 | +0.41 | −0.10 | +0.69 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Alexander Edler D | 22:10 | +0.17 | +0.02 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Kale Clague D | 17:28 | +0.16 | +0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 19:17 | +0.12 | +0.26 | −0.34 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 17:46 | +0.05 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 22:50 | +0.04 | +0.23 | −0.27 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 10:30 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olli Maatta D | 11:57 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 18:40 | −0.06 | +0.12 | −0.21 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Dustin Brown R | 13:45 | −0.10 | +0.04 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 10:58 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 17:31 | −0.18 | +0.19 | −0.36 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 30:27 | −0.25 | +0.14 | −0.40 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 10:09 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 | |
| Tobias Bjornfot D | 17:15 | −0.30 | −0.09 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 17:13 | −0.34 | +0.10 | −0.43 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 13:29 | −0.45 | −0.02 | −0.44 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 20:04 | −0.67 | +0.14 | −0.80 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 63:09 | +0.42 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.