ANA beat WSH 3–2 in overtime. Expected goals were close to even (WSH 2.6, ANA 2.5), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Trevor Zegras scored at 4:14 of overtime, moving ANA’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WSH–ANA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:32 | ANA | Cam Fowler from Ryan Getzlaf, Troy Terry | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P3 5:36 | WSH | Garrett Pilon from Martin Fehérváry, John Carlson | 1–1 | 20% → 48% |
| P3 10:00 | ANA | Trevor Zegras from Sonny Milano, Kevin Shattenkirk | 1–2 | 52% → 83% |
| P3 17:28 | WSH | Tom Wilson from John Carlson, Martin Fehérváry | 2–2 | 7% → 49% |
| OT 4:14 | ANA | Trevor Zegras from Hampus Lindholm, Adam Henrique | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Pilon C | 9:28 | 1 | +0.46 | +0.09 | +0.40 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Tom Wilson R | 21:07 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.04 | +0.40 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| John Carlson D | 22:30 | 2 | +0.31 | +0.08 | −0.07 | +0.30 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Martin Fehérváry D | 19:41 | 2 | +0.27 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.28 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Jensen D | 19:07 | +0.20 | +0.28 | +0.00 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Orlov D | 20:35 | +0.13 | +0.30 | +0.00 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Sheary L | 16:31 | +0.07 | +0.17 | −0.03 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor McMichael L | 15:46 | +0.01 | +0.15 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Carl Hagelin L | 12:55 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 13:16 | −0.08 | +0.09 | −0.09 | −0.09 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brett Leason R | 10:22 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Daniel Sprong R | 14:24 | −0.10 | +0.14 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 21:47 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Axel Jonsson-Fjallby L | 14:47 | −0.13 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Aliaksei Protas L | 13:46 | −0.22 | +0.02 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Justin Schultz D | 20:34 | −0.33 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Ovechkin L | 21:40 | −0.33 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.09 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgeny Kuznetsov C | 22:26 | −0.45 | −0.10 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.10 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Vitek Vanecek G | 64:14 | +0.17 |
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Zegras C | 14:48 | 2 | +0.62 | −0.14 | +0.75 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Cam Fowler D | 24:47 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.05 | +0.44 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Getzlaf C | 20:54 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.20 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.12 | |
| Sonny Milano L | 12:54 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.21 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Henrique C | 18:09 | 1 | +0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Jamie Drysdale D | 19:53 | −0.03 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Manson D | 21:01 | −0.05 | +0.07 | −0.01 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 24:02 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.15 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 16:19 | −0.05 | +0.08 | −0.02 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Sam Steel C | 13:29 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 18:58 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.08 | −0.19 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 18:06 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.13 | −0.03 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Simon Benoit D | 14:36 | −0.14 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 13:15 | −0.14 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 13:26 | −0.24 | −0.16 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 16:29 | −0.24 | +0.04 | −0.22 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Mason McTavish C | 16:41 | −0.32 | −0.02 | −0.16 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Grant C | 14:55 | −0.33 | −0.13 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 64:14 | +0.46 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.