EDM beat NYR 6–5 in overtime. EDM also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl scored at 3:27 of overtime, moving EDM’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 2.7 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–EDM | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:53 | NYR | Filip Chytil from Nils Lundkvist, Sammy Blais | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 18:11 | EDM | Zach Hyman from Tyson Barrie, Darnell Nurse | 1–1 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 2:52 | NYR | Kevin Rooney from Filip Chytil | 2–1 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 4:11 | NYR | Chris Kreider from Adam Fox, Barclay Goodrow | 3–1 | 67% → 82% |
| P2 6:56 | NYR | Mika ZibanejadPP from Ryan Strome, Artemi Panarin | 4–1 | 83% → 94% |
| P2 14:41 | EDM | Jesse PuljujarviPP from Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Darnell Nurse | 4–2 | 4% → 13% |
| P3 1:00 | EDM | Tyson BarriePP from Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl | 4–3 | 10% → 27% |
| P3 3:35 | EDM | Jesse Puljujarvi from Duncan Keith, Evan Bouchard | 4–4 | 25% → 52% |
| P3 7:18 | NYR | Mika Zibanejad from Chris Kreider | 5–4 | 48% → 77% |
| P3 17:01 | EDM | Connor McDavid from Tyson Barrie, Leon Draisaitl | 5–5 | 9% → 51% |
| OT 3:27 | EDM | Leon Draisaitl from Darnell Nurse, Connor McDavid | 5–6 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Zibanejad C | 22:07 | 2 | +0.82 | −0.45 | +1.45 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Kevin Rooney C | 14:55 | 1 | +0.80 | −0.01 | +0.80 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Chris Kreider L | 18:38 | 1 | 1 | +0.57 | −0.24 | +0.82 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Filip Chytil C | 16:06 | 1 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.05 | +0.32 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Sammy Blais L | 16:15 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.04 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Lindgren D | 20:09 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| K'Andre Miller D | 16:42 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 15:29 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nils Lundkvist D | 12:29 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrik Nemeth D | 20:25 | −0.14 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fox D | 26:50 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 9:02 | −0.16 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 20:38 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.21 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Greg McKegg C | 8:21 | −0.19 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Dryden Hunt L | 8:59 | −0.20 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 23:26 | −0.33 | −0.30 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Barclay Goodrow C | 18:14 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.21 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Ryan Strome C | 19:12 | 1 | −0.49 | +0.06 | −0.30 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.07 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandar Georgiev G | 63:27 | −2.70 |
EDM
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Puljujarvi R | 19:48 | 2 | +1.55 | +0.14 | +1.40 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor McDavid C | 25:26 | 1 | 2 | +1.34 | +0.34 | +0.67 | +0.15 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.01 |
| Leon Draisaitl C | 24:54 | 1 | 2 | +0.95 | +0.35 | +0.65 | +0.08 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.08 |
| Tyson Barrie D | 23:16 | 1 | 2 | +0.93 | +0.29 | +0.64 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Zach Hyman L | 18:17 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.28 | +0.47 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Darnell Nurse D | 29:23 | 3 | +0.19 | +0.34 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | 20:40 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.24 | −0.31 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Cody Ceci D | 19:57 | +0.03 | +0.05 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Perlini L | 5:01 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Ryan C | 12:31 | +0.02 | +0.06 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Kyle Turris C | 5:30 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Duncan Keith D | 24:57 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.18 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Slater Koekkoek D | 6:27 | −0.06 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kailer Yamamoto R | 17:40 | −0.11 | +0.17 | −0.25 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Devin Shore C | 6:25 | −0.13 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Evan Bouchard D | 17:03 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Warren Foegele L | 14:39 | −0.27 | −0.10 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Zack Kassian R | 15:07 | −0.33 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mikko Koskinen G | 63:27 | −2.57 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.