PIT beat PHI 3–2 in overtime. PIT also won the expected-goals battle 4.0 to 3.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Kris Letang scored at 1:54 of overtime, moving PIT’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Tristan Jarry saved 1.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–PIT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:16 |  PIT | Brock McGinn from Mike Matheson, Zachary Aston-Reese | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P2 7:37 |  PHI | Travis KonecnyPP from Claude Giroux, Ivan Provorov | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 11:46 | PIT | Jake Guentzel from Danton Heinen, John Marino | 1–2 | 53% → 74% |
| P3 17:08 | PHI | Scott Laughton from James van Riemsdyk | 2–2 | 8% → 49% |
| OT 1:54 | PIT | Kris Letang from Jeff Carter | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Laughton C | 17:19 | 1 | +1.02 | +0.18 | +0.86 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 20:45 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.03 | +0.14 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 22:10 | +0.28 | +0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 12:28 | +0.03 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Braun D | 19:58 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keith Yandle D | 15:46 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 23:53 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 14:56 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.06 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 23:38 | −0.11 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 22:04 | −0.17 | −0.04 | −0.17 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Zack MacEwen C | 9:17 | −0.20 | −0.04 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Claude Giroux R | 19:42 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.03 | |
| Cam Atkinson R | 16:41 | −0.22 | +0.03 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Thompson C | 9:23 | −0.27 | −0.09 | −0.17 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel R | 9:01 | −0.39 | −0.06 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 15:32 | −0.42 | +0.09 | −0.50 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derick Brassard C | 13:16 | −0.57 | −0.05 | −0.52 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 15:53 | −0.71 | −0.21 | −0.49 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 61:54 | +0.92 |
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Letang D | 28:54 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.09 | +0.74 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake Guentzel C | 17:20 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.01 | +0.35 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brock McGinn L | 16:35 | 1 | +0.36 | −0.01 | +0.58 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Mark Friedman D | 15:43 | +0.11 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Juuso Riikola D | 11:18 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Boyle C | 11:33 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Dominik Simon C | 7:57 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Matheson D | 23:50 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zachary Aston-Reese C | 16:09 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Drew O'Connor L | 10:41 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| John Marino D | 22:13 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.09 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jeff Carter C | 17:22 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.08 | −0.27 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Teddy Blueger C | 17:19 | −0.21 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Pierre-Olivier Joseph D | 17:02 | −0.23 | +0.11 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Zucker L | 15:16 | −0.26 | +0.08 | −0.35 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evan Rodrigues C | 19:10 | −0.26 | +0.29 | −0.56 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 14:46 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.12 | −0.29 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Kasperi Kapanen R | 17:28 | −0.62 | +0.01 | −0.62 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry G | 61:43 | +1.59 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.