LAK beat STL 3–2 in a shootout. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 4.0 to 3.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Torey Krug scored at 19:51 of the third, moving STL’s win probability from 3% to 47%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | STL–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 6:48 | STL | Brayden SchennPP from Vladimir Tarasenko, Torey Krug | 1–0 | 48% → 67% |
| P3 6:16 | LAK | Arthur Kaliyev from Kale Clague, Alexander Edler | 1–1 | 23% → 52% |
| P3 12:15 | LAK | Adrian Kempe from Alex Iafallo, Phillip Danault | 1–2 | 51% → 85% |
| P3 19:51 | STL | Torey Krug from Jordan Kyrou, Vladimir Tarasenko | 2–2 | 3% → 47% |
Every player
Show both lineups
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Krug D | 20:26 | 1 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.28 | +0.54 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jordan Kyrou R | 15:43 | 1 | +0.72 | +0.02 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.83 | |
| David Perron L | 17:06 | +0.17 | −0.16 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.70 | ||
| Robert Bortuzzo D | 17:56 | +0.13 | +0.13 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 18:35 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.27 | +0.69 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.45 | |
| James Neal L | 9:51 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Dakota Joshua C | 8:56 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Justin Faulk D | 23:36 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marco Scandella D | 18:58 | −0.16 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Walman D | 16:02 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 16:25 | −0.20 | −0.03 | −0.40 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 19:58 | −0.23 | −0.05 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bozak C | 15:12 | −0.30 | +0.10 | −0.13 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.06 | −0.00 | ||
| Klim Kostin C | 9:07 | −0.30 | −0.03 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 12:17 | −0.71 | +0.17 | −0.68 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Robert Thomas C | 22:40 | −0.71 | −0.33 | −0.21 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.05 | −0.00 | ||
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 17:38 | 2 | −0.71 | −0.11 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.45 | |
| Colton Parayko D | 26:58 | −1.08 | −0.81 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington G | 63:41 | −0.04 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 13:14 | 1 | +1.61 | −0.09 | +0.66 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.05 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 21:01 | 1 | +1.31 | +0.64 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.70 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 21:52 | 1 | +0.44 | +0.30 | −0.77 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.74 | |
| Mikey Anderson D | 19:23 | +0.15 | +0.13 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 21:25 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.43 | −0.27 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Dustin Brown R | 19:30 | +0.13 | +0.13 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 11:15 | +0.08 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Tobias Bjornfot D | 20:09 | +0.07 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kale Clague D | 23:05 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.21 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Olli Maatta D | 16:45 | −0.04 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 23:14 | −0.14 | +0.05 | −0.19 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 13:21 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 13:55 | −0.17 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Brendan Lemieux L | 12:39 | −0.21 | −0.05 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Lias Andersson C | 12:48 | −0.23 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Alexander Edler D | 16:42 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Moore L | 12:25 | −0.26 | −0.02 | −0.26 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 21:59 | −0.77 | −0.11 | −0.44 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.10 | −0.36 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 64:42 | +0.64 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.