NSH beat NYI 3–2 in a shootout. NSH also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Tanner Jeannot scored at 11:48 of the third, moving NSH’s win probability from 18% to 52%. Juuse Saros saved 1.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYI–NSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 14:46 | NYI | Anthony BeauvillierPP from Josh Bailey, Mathew Barzal | 1–0 | 48% → 64% |
| P2 6:54 |  NSH | Tanner Jeannot from Dante Fabbro, Colton Sissons | 1–1 | 33% → 53% |
| P2 12:04 | NYI | Oliver WahlstromPP from Brock Nelson, Ryan Pulock | 2–1 | 48% → 69% |
| P3 11:48 | NSH | Tanner Jeannot from Matt Benning, Colton Sissons | 2–2 | 18% → 52% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Wahlstrom R | 11:59 | 1 | +0.50 | +0.03 | +0.59 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.30 | |
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 16:18 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.07 | +0.63 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.36 | |
| Scott Mayfield D | 20:46 | +0.17 | +0.12 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 12:42 | +0.09 | +0.05 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Zach Parise L | 14:19 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 23:11 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Martin L | 9:58 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Andy Greene D | 15:10 | −0.06 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 14:11 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Ryan Pulock D | 25:08 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brock Nelson C | 18:52 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.06 | −0.27 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Anders Lee C | 16:33 | −0.20 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Josh Bailey R | 18:44 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.28 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Casey Cizikas C | 13:43 | −0.32 | −0.04 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 17:25 | −0.38 | +0.09 | −0.31 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Noah Dobson D | 17:22 | −0.41 | −0.08 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathew Barzal C | 20:26 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.40 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Zdeno Chara D | 18:13 | −0.58 | −0.21 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.37 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin G | 65:00 | −0.09 |
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Jeannot L | 14:41 | 2 | +1.57 | +0.03 | +1.54 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Filip Forsberg L | 21:12 | +0.22 | +0.08 | −0.70 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.83 | ||
| Luke Kunin C | 11:20 | +0.19 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.37 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mattias Ekholm D | 26:57 | +0.16 | +0.25 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexandre Carrier D | 21:24 | +0.07 | +0.28 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Benning D | 12:29 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Roman Josi D | 26:40 | +0.03 | −0.20 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.32 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 14:59 | 2 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Tommy Novak C | 10:39 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Nick Cousins C | 12:19 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mark Borowiecki D | 11:42 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yakov Trenin C | 13:14 | −0.10 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Philip Tomasino C | 13:14 | −0.10 | +0.15 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Dante Fabbro D | 17:55 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Duchene C | 22:38 | −0.19 | +0.28 | −0.38 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.30 | ||
| Ryan Johansen C | 16:46 | −0.27 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Mikael Granlund C | 25:20 | −0.33 | +0.04 | −0.22 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 14:00 | −0.42 | +0.15 | −0.58 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros G | 64:18 | +1.28 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.