DAL beat LAK 3–2 in overtime. DAL lost the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 4.2 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Denis Gurianov scored at 4:15 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Braden Holtby saved 1.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 17:11 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Viktor Arvidsson, Dustin Brown | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P1 19:20 | DAL | Tyler SeguinPP from Ryan Suter, Miro Heiskanen | 1–1 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 17:32 | LAK | Gabriel VilardiPP from Arthur Kaliyev, Sean Walker | 2–1 | 48% → 72% |
| P3 10:58 | DAL | Miro HeiskanenPP from Joe Pavelski, Tyler Seguin | 2–2 | 25% → 52% |
| OT 4:15 | DAL | Denis Gurianov from Miro Heiskanen, Roope Hintz | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anze Kopitar C | 23:53 | 1 | +1.19 | +0.33 | +0.57 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.05 | |
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 12:22 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.09 | +0.67 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Tobias Bjornfot D | 15:54 | +0.29 | +0.31 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 10:28 | +0.24 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 11:12 | +0.21 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 16:51 | +0.06 | +0.15 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 13:03 | +0.05 | +0.04 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.05 | ||
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 12:08 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.08 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexander Edler D | 19:28 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 11:34 | −0.07 | +0.04 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 17:58 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 16:15 | −0.12 | +0.04 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 20:54 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.42 | −0.41 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 18:05 | −0.22 | +0.18 | −0.41 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Dustin Brown R | 19:56 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.31 | −0.53 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 18:27 | −0.28 | −0.11 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Walker D | 25:09 | 1 | −0.41 | +0.16 | −0.35 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Roy D | 21:38 | −0.49 | +0.13 | −0.25 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.37 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 64:15 | −0.60 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denis Gurianov R | 11:42 | 1 | +0.55 | −0.30 | +0.83 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Seguin C | 18:52 | 1 | 1 | +0.34 | −0.09 | +0.43 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Miro Heiskanen D | 29:07 | 1 | 2 | +0.26 | −0.06 | +0.31 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Alexander Radulov R | 19:55 | +0.14 | +0.01 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Raffl L | 19:17 | +0.10 | −0.18 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.56 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Peterson C | 15:35 | −0.01 | +0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Kero C | 6:44 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joel Kiviranta L | 3:50 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Hanley D | 8:57 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrej Sekera D | 20:58 | −0.16 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 13:42 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Esa Lindell D | 26:13 | −0.20 | −0.24 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 27:57 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.06 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Roope Hintz C | 17:58 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.11 | −0.24 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 21:09 | −0.40 | −0.20 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 15:43 | −0.44 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Jani Hakanpää D | 8:51 | −0.47 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 13:24 | −0.49 | −0.10 | −0.37 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Braden Holtby G | 64:06 | +1.88 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.