ANA beat CGY 3–2 in overtime. ANA lost the expected-goals battle 2.1 to 4.1 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Jamie Drysdale scored at 3:26 of overtime, moving ANA’s win probability from 48% to 100%. John Gibson saved 2.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–CGY | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:43 |  CGY | Blake Coleman from Johnny Gaudreau | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 15:56 |  ANA | Cam FowlerPP from Kevin Shattenkirk, Troy Terry | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P2 3:52 | CGY | Elias Lindholm from Johnny Gaudreau, Rasmus Andersson | 1–2 | 53% → 72% |
| P3 12:55 | ANA | Rickard Rakell from Adam Henrique, Joshua Mahura | 2–2 | 14% → 49% |
| OT 3:26 | ANA | Jamie Drysdale from Troy Terry | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Fowler D | 21:29 | 1 | +0.74 | −0.09 | +0.85 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Drysdale D | 21:07 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.02 | +0.71 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Rickard Rakell R | 19:45 | 1 | +0.52 | −0.06 | +0.57 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Getzlaf C | 18:44 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.08 | +0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 15:47 | 2 | −0.10 | +0.09 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mason McTavish C | 5:23 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Groulx C | 14:07 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 10:58 | −0.15 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joshua Mahura D | 17:20 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Hampus Lindholm D | 21:03 | −0.17 | −0.08 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Max Jones L | 11:47 | −0.19 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Manson D | 18:17 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 18:09 | −0.23 | −0.18 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 22:01 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.21 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 16:48 | −0.32 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Henrique C | 17:05 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.22 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Maxime Comtois L | 15:55 | −0.34 | +0.05 | −0.37 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 18:30 | −0.37 | −0.08 | −0.29 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 63:26 | +2.28 |
CGY
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Lindholm C | 20:39 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.05 | +0.72 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Blake Coleman L | 15:22 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.10 | +0.51 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Gudbranson D | 17:47 | +0.25 | +0.30 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Juuso Välimäki D | 16:10 | +0.10 | +0.27 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 17:48 | +0.07 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 13:09 | +0.05 | +0.12 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Monahan C | 17:04 | +0.01 | +0.13 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Chris Tanev D | 18:40 | −0.02 | +0.05 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Glenn Gawdin C | 10:21 | −0.02 | +0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Noah Hanifin D | 21:07 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Andersson D | 26:08 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.06 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brett Ritchie R | 11:08 | −0.07 | +0.15 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Backlund C | 15:59 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Dillon Dube C | 17:14 | −0.26 | +0.15 | −0.37 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Milan Lucic L | 10:34 | −0.28 | +0.06 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnny Gaudreau L | 20:51 | 2 | −0.39 | −0.07 | −0.58 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Matthew Tkachuk L | 19:31 | −0.45 | +0.03 | −0.48 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Andrew Mangiapane L | 16:56 | −0.52 | +0.16 | −0.85 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom G | 63:23 | −0.90 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.