NJD beat CHI 4–3 in overtime. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 3.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jack Hughes scored at 0:57 of overtime, moving NJD’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:17 | NJD | Dougie Hamilton from Pavel Zacha | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P2 0:51 | CHI | Alex DeBrincatPP from Patrick Kane, Tyler Johnson | 1–1 | 29% → 47% |
| P2 17:58 | NJD | Jack Hughes from Yegor Sharangovich, Janne Kuokkanen | 1–2 | 53% → 76% |
| P3 6:34 | NJD | Andreas Johnsson from Dawson Mercer, Tomas Tatar | 1–3 | 80% → 95% |
| P3 16:07 | CHI | Kirby DachPP from Tyler Johnson, Patrick Kane | 2–3 | 1% → 10% |
| P3 19:34 | CHI | Dominik KubalikPP from Brandon Hagel, Seth Jones | 3–3 | 3% → 49% |
| OT 0:57 | NJD | Jack Hughes from Ryan Graves | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Kubalik L | 15:04 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.12 | +0.84 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kirby Dach C | 20:34 | 1 | +0.59 | −0.15 | +0.78 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Calvin de Haan D | 15:58 | +0.36 | +0.17 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 23:54 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.30 | +0.52 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jonathan Toews C | 19:17 | +0.16 | +0.07 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.04 | ||
| Brandon Hagel L | 13:41 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.09 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Adam Gaudette R | 8:16 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 10:42 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Jujhar Khaira L | 10:18 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 14:38 | −0.09 | +0.09 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 17:40 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 26:08 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.24 | −0.35 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake McCabe D | 19:28 | −0.15 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Henrik Borgstrom C | 12:25 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Riley Stillman D | 15:40 | −0.25 | −0.06 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Johnson C | 17:58 | 2 | −0.29 | +0.05 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.04 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 17:45 | −0.41 | −0.19 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 22:15 | 2 | −1.04 | −0.32 | −0.71 | +0.03 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 58:07 | −0.62 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hughes C | 18:31 | 2 | +1.45 | +0.02 | +1.46 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Andreas Johnsson L | 11:39 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.13 | +0.44 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Dougie Hamilton D | 25:54 | 1 | +0.41 | −0.01 | +0.60 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 18:48 | +0.14 | +0.15 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Graves D | 24:55 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.12 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 18:55 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Marián Studenic R | 12:08 | +0.07 | +0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Christian Jaros D | 13:04 | +0.02 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jimmy Vesey L | 12:53 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| P.K. Subban D | 20:59 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton White D | 13:27 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McLeod C | 13:30 | −0.10 | +0.11 | −0.41 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Dawson Mercer C | 12:03 | 1 | −0.25 | +0.02 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Tomas Tatar L | 11:45 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.05 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Jesper Bratt L | 15:46 | −0.30 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Janne Kuokkanen C | 14:14 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Nico Hischier C | 18:06 | −0.40 | +0.00 | −0.44 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 17:50 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.06 | −0.39 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bernier G | 60:57 | +0.15 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.