DAL beat NYR 3–2 in overtime. DAL lost the expected-goals battle 2.6 to 3.4 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Miro Heiskanen scored at 1:38 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–NYR | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 19:25 | DAL | Jacob Peterson unassisted | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 6:11 | DAL | Radek FaksaPP from Miro Heiskanen, Ryan Suter | 2–0 | 68% → 83% |
| P2 8:43 | NYR | Adam Fox from Ryan Lindgren, Artemi Panarin | 2–1 | 16% → 32% |
| P2 15:54 | NYR | Chris Kreider from K'Andre Miller, Mika Zibanejad | 2–2 | 29% → 53% |
| OT 1:38 | DAL | Miro Heiskanen from Jamie Benn | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miro Heiskanen D | 26:28 | 1 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.06 | +0.31 | +0.16 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| Radek Faksa C | 19:51 | 1 | +0.51 | −0.00 | +0.39 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Jacob Peterson C | 16:35 | 1 | +0.31 | −0.01 | +0.41 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 15:53 | 1 | +0.26 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.29 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Andrej Sekera D | 20:31 | +0.12 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Roope Hintz C | 16:07 | +0.03 | +0.06 | −0.08 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Michael Raffl L | 15:02 | −0.02 | +0.13 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 22:19 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.06 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Kiviranta L | 6:29 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denis Gurianov R | 11:56 | −0.03 | +0.16 | −0.20 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Klingberg D | 10:21 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 15:24 | −0.14 | +0.08 | −0.08 | +0.04 | +0.03 | −0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Tanner Kero C | 9:26 | −0.16 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Seguin C | 18:01 | −0.23 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Alexander Radulov R | 17:21 | −0.27 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jani Hakanpää D | 16:42 | −0.30 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.07 | −0.01 | −0.37 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 23:27 | −0.35 | −0.26 | −0.12 | −0.03 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 15:01 | −0.42 | −0.28 | −0.10 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Khudobin G | 13:31 | +0.72 |
| Braden Holtby G | 48:07 | +0.41 |
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Fox D | 25:00 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.40 | +0.30 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Chris Kreider L | 20:05 | 1 | +0.48 | +0.40 | +0.25 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| K'Andre Miller D | 17:41 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.12 | +0.00 | +0.10 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dryden Hunt L | 9:32 | +0.19 | +0.19 | −0.09 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 20:45 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.30 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Ryan Lindgren D | 18:51 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kaapo Kakko R | 18:22 | +0.06 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 20:53 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.08 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Rooney C | 12:32 | −0.09 | +0.06 | −0.12 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Barclay Goodrow C | 14:01 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Nils Lundkvist D | 14:19 | −0.15 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 15:05 | −0.19 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrik Nemeth D | 16:55 | −0.21 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Reaves R | 11:03 | −0.23 | +0.12 | −0.07 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Julien Gauthier R | 12:04 | −0.26 | −0.12 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Chytil C | 13:13 | −0.27 | −0.15 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 20:25 | −0.29 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 20:57 | −0.34 | +0.09 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin G | 61:38 | −0.44 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.