ANA beat STL 3–2 in a shootout. ANA also won the expected-goals battle 3.6 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Kyle Clifford scored at 5:29 of the third, moving STL’s win probability from 24% to 52%. Anthony Stolarz saved 1.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 11:52 |  STL | Mike HoffmanPP from Ryan O'Reilly, Justin Faulk | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P2 12:57 | ANA | Max Jones from Sam Carrick, Cam Fowler | 1–1 | 25% → 47% |
| P3 2:15 | ANA | Haydn Fleury from Troy Terry, Trevor Zegras | 2–1 | 48% → 74% |
| P3 5:29 | STL | Kyle Clifford from Ivan Barbashev | 2–2 | 24% → 52% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Terry R | 17:22 | 1 | +0.89 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.79 | |
| Haydn Fleury D | 19:23 | 1 | +0.58 | +0.30 | +0.40 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Carrick C | 12:43 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.06 | −0.08 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Max Jones L | 17:01 | 1 | +0.29 | +0.18 | +0.19 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Simon Benoit D | 18:34 | +0.07 | +0.27 | −0.07 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Getzlaf C | 17:47 | +0.05 | +0.16 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 22:38 | 1 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 9:33 | −0.01 | +0.17 | −0.10 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Larsson D | 20:20 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 18:23 | −0.02 | +0.16 | −0.14 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jamie Drysdale D | 20:13 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Steel C | 9:29 | −0.05 | +0.19 | −0.16 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Rickard Rakell R | 22:08 | −0.10 | +0.08 | −0.03 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Maxime Comtois L | 17:50 | −0.12 | +0.12 | −0.08 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| David Backes R | 10:32 | −0.14 | +0.11 | −0.17 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 21:46 | −0.23 | +0.22 | −0.04 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 16:23 | −0.24 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 18:07 | 1 | −0.84 | −0.02 | −0.34 | +0.10 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.07 | −0.32 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz G | 65:00 | +1.62 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Barbashev L | 12:00 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.20 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Mike Hoffman C | 17:34 | 1 | +0.20 | −0.05 | +0.34 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Kyle Clifford L | 9:45 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.04 | +0.25 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Faulk D | 28:30 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zachary Sanford L | 13:25 | −0.06 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mackenzie MacEachern L | 8:53 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jake Walman D | 17:27 | −0.08 | −0.14 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Bortuzzo D | 16:08 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 23:45 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.04 | −0.05 | +0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | −0.33 | |
| Robert Thomas C | 14:46 | −0.18 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marco Scandella D | 18:30 | −0.20 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bozak C | 15:35 | −0.27 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | +0.00 | ||
| Niko Mikkola D | 15:00 | −0.29 | −0.25 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Kyrou R | 15:44 | −0.29 | −0.05 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 16:31 | −0.30 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Colton Parayko D | 24:52 | −0.41 | −0.26 | −0.11 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Perron L | 22:17 | −0.46 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 20:26 | −0.69 | −0.13 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.38 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington G | 64:52 | +0.91 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.