NJD beat BOS 4–3 in overtime. NJD lost the expected-goals battle 2.5 to 3.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Pavel Zacha scored on the power play at 2:42 of overtime, moving NJD’s win probability from 54% to 100%. Jaroslav Halak allowed 1.5 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:42 | NJD | Pavel ZachaPP from Jack Hughes, Nico Hischier | 0–1 | 57% → 70% |
| P2 4:36 | BOS | Patrice BergeronPP from David Pastrnak, Matt Grzelcyk | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 14:02 | BOS | Taylor Hall from Matt Grzelcyk, David Krejci | 2–1 | 47% → 71% |
| P3 9:10 | NJD | Jesper Boqvist from Damon Severson, Marián Studenic | 2–2 | 21% → 52% |
| P3 10:42 | BOS | Sean Kuraly from David Pastrnak, Mike Reilly | 3–2 | 48% → 81% |
| P3 12:41 | NJD | Yegor Sharangovich from Damon Severson, Kevin Bahl | 3–3 | 17% → 51% |
| OT 2:42 | NJD | Pavel ZachaPP from Jack Hughes, Will Butcher | 3–4 | 54% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Hall L | 15:29 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.08 | +0.66 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Sean Kuraly C | 18:01 | 1 | +0.51 | +0.02 | +0.46 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Patrice Bergeron C | 17:48 | 1 | +0.15 | −0.00 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.10 | |
| Mike Reilly D | 20:54 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.16 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Carlo D | 20:51 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Trent Frederic C | 10:10 | +0.01 | +0.07 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Connor Clifton D | 17:13 | +0.00 | +0.23 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 20:19 | 2 | −0.06 | +0.13 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 17:21 | −0.08 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 13:59 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Ritchie L | 15:50 | −0.11 | +0.07 | −0.14 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Krejci C | 16:15 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.10 | −0.28 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Curtis Lazar C | 11:27 | −0.15 | +0.06 | −0.23 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Craig Smith C | 15:33 | −0.18 | +0.11 | −0.29 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 18:38 | 2 | −0.20 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie Coyle C | 13:24 | −0.22 | +0.11 | −0.31 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 17:51 | −0.23 | −0.11 | −0.33 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 21:01 | −0.31 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jaroslav Halak G | 62:41 | −1.50 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Zacha C | 18:22 | 2 | +1.62 | +0.10 | +1.55 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 16:58 | 1 | +1.06 | +0.02 | +0.70 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.36 | −0.01 | |
| Jesper Boqvist C | 11:44 | 1 | +0.36 | −0.06 | +0.45 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Miles Wood L | 16:14 | +0.11 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.36 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Tennyson D | 15:42 | +0.10 | +0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Bahl D | 16:05 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marián Studenic R | 10:24 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Will Butcher D | 20:22 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jack Hughes C | 22:16 | 2 | −0.05 | +0.08 | −0.13 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Damon Severson D | 25:29 | 2 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Murray D | 21:51 | −0.18 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Carrick D | 19:30 | −0.21 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McLeod C | 14:33 | −0.23 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.08 | ||
| Nick Merkley R | 4:27 | −0.23 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Janne Kuokkanen C | 14:03 | −0.32 | −0.06 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 17:49 | −0.37 | +0.17 | −0.55 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nico Hischier C | 21:57 | 1 | −0.40 | −0.01 | −0.39 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nathan Bastian R | 14:51 | −0.41 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood G | 62:02 | +0.99 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.