CBJ beat DET 1–0 in a shootout. CBJ also won the expected-goals battle 4.3 to 3.6: the better chances went the right way. Elvis Merzlikins saved 4.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DET–CBJ | Win prob. |
|---|
Every player
Show both lineups
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Zadina R | 16:27 | +0.14 | +0.33 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Gustav Lindstrom D | 20:19 | +0.08 | +0.15 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Danny DeKeyser D | 22:49 | +0.06 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Darren Helm C | 12:14 | −0.01 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Valtteri Filppula C | 16:50 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Evgeny Svechnikov L | 10:17 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Richard Panik R | 13:50 | −0.15 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 21:44 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc Staal D | 19:15 | −0.16 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 14:59 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.25 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 13:57 | −0.30 | +0.03 | −0.34 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Troy Stecher D | 19:50 | −0.31 | −0.21 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Gagner C | 16:13 | −0.34 | −0.15 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 18:13 | −0.34 | −0.04 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Dennis Cholowski D | 19:46 | −0.41 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Erne L | 17:08 | −0.66 | −0.07 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.38 | ||
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 15:49 | −0.71 | −0.26 | −0.44 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Jakub Vrana L | 19:20 | −1.21 | +0.12 | −0.99 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thomas Greiss G | 65:00 | +2.24 |
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrik Laine L | 13:45 | +0.52 | −0.03 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.67 | ||
| Max Domi C | 22:05 | +0.34 | +0.39 | −0.14 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 24:07 | +0.14 | +0.30 | −0.50 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.33 | ||
| Alexandre Texier L | 17:51 | +0.09 | +0.23 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan MacInnis C | 8:18 | +0.06 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Michael Del Zotto D | 22:40 | +0.01 | +0.07 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 19:52 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gavin Bayreuther D | 15:15 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 25:36 | −0.10 | +0.06 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Liam Foudy C | 15:25 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Dean Kukan D | 17:36 | −0.12 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikko Lehtonen D | 22:26 | −0.12 | +0.05 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikhail Grigorenko C | 14:34 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nathan Gerbe C | 9:09 | −0.13 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Eric Robinson L | 19:06 | −0.20 | +0.23 | −0.40 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Stefan Matteau C | 7:56 | −0.23 | −0.14 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 18:06 | −0.28 | +0.02 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | ||
| Jack Roslovic C | 17:13 | −0.83 | −0.23 | −0.71 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.18 | −0.05 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins G | 65:00 | +4.25 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.