CHI beat NSH 5–4 in overtime. CHI lost the expected-goals battle 2.7 to 3.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Brandon Hagel scored at 3:00 of overtime, moving CHI’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Juuse Saros allowed 2.3 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NSH–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:14 | CHI | Pius Suter from Brandon Hagel | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 14:16 |  NSH | Eeli Tolvanen from Viktor Arvidsson, Ryan Johansen | 1–1 | 29% → 47% |
| P2 13:39 | NSH | Colton Sissons unassisted | 2–1 | 47% → 70% |
| P2 19:58 | NSH | Mikael Granlund from Mattias Ekholm | 3–1 | 73% → 89% |
| P3 0:58 | NSH | Luke Kunin from Mikael Granlund, Roman Josi | 4–1 | 90% → 98% |
| P3 10:04 | CHI | Wyatt Kalynuk from Patrick Kane, Brandon Hagel | 4–2 | 1% → 4% |
| P3 11:13 | CHI | Vinnie Hinostroza from Kirby Dach, Nikita Zadorov | 4–3 | 4% → 19% |
| P3 12:55 | CHI | Dominik Kubalik from Pius Suter | 4–4 | 16% → 51% |
| OT 3:00 | CHI | Brandon Hagel from Vinnie Hinostroza, Kirby Dach | 4–5 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikael Granlund C | 20:43 | 1 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.15 | +0.30 | +0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 15:00 | 1 | +0.49 | +0.10 | +0.30 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Colton Sissons C | 14:31 | 1 | +0.43 | +0.09 | +0.40 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Luke Kunin C | 12:44 | 1 | +0.23 | −0.02 | +0.26 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Benning D | 16:48 | +0.18 | +0.16 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Roman Josi D | 22:07 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.39 | −0.12 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mattias Ekholm D | 22:23 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.05 | −0.07 | +0.24 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ben Harpur D | 17:31 | +0.10 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 15:32 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.08 | −0.23 | +0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Yakov Trenin C | 9:56 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.09 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Ellis D | 22:36 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Cousins C | 12:18 | −0.03 | +0.14 | −0.09 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 9:19 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.08 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Duchene C | 15:04 | −0.05 | +0.13 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Erik Haula L | 19:10 | −0.07 | +0.09 | −0.16 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 20:30 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Gudbranson D | 19:03 | −0.12 | +0.17 | −0.02 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Johansen C | 15:45 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.04 | −0.17 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros G | 63:00 | −2.25 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Hinostroza C | 15:03 | 1 | 1 | +1.02 | +0.01 | +0.33 | +0.33 | −0.00 | +0.36 | −0.01 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 17:44 | 1 | 2 | +0.60 | −0.05 | +0.40 | +0.27 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Pius Suter C | 17:02 | 1 | 1 | +0.33 | −0.22 | +0.37 | +0.17 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Wyatt Kalynuk D | 17:52 | 1 | +0.14 | −0.19 | +0.36 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dominik Kubalik L | 17:00 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.06 | +0.21 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kirby Dach C | 17:58 | 2 | +0.08 | +0.16 | −0.15 | +0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Calvin de Haan D | 3:50 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Boqvist D | 17:40 | −0.03 | +0.14 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 17:17 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brett Connolly R | 12:30 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 14:30 | −0.08 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Riley Stillman D | 14:26 | −0.08 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.07 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 21:41 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.09 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 23:50 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.22 | −0.11 | +0.18 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Carpenter C | 12:41 | −0.30 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Duncan Keith D | 26:24 | −0.30 | −0.24 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 22:14 | −0.31 | −0.28 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Kampf C | 16:59 | −0.52 | −0.39 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Subban G | 62:57 | +0.08 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.