NJD beat PHI 6–4. NJD lost the expected-goals battle 2.3 to 3.7 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Yegor Sharangovich scored at 12:36 of the third, moving NJD’s win probability from 51% to 85%. Brian Elliott allowed 2.7 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 18:45 | NJD | Nico HischierPP from Jack Hughes, Pavel Zacha | 0–1 | 54% → 71% |
| P2 2:20 | NJD | Pavel ZachaPP from Jack Hughes, Ty Smith | 0–2 | 73% → 86% |
| P2 5:14 | NJD | Miles Wood unassisted | 0–3 | 87% → 95% |
| P2 5:29 | PHI | Oskar Lindblom from Jackson Cates, Nolan Patrick | 1–3 | 5% → 13% |
| P3 2:24 | PHI | Philippe Myers unassisted | 2–3 | 7% → 22% |
| P3 3:34 | PHI | Claude Giroux from Jakub Voracek, Robert Hagg | 3–3 | 21% → 48% |
| P3 8:04 | NJD | Connor Carrick from Ty Smith, Michael McLeod | 3–4 | 52% → 81% |
| P3 12:25 | PHI | Travis Sanheim from Sean Couturier | 4–4 | 15% → 49% |
| P3 12:36 | NJD | Yegor Sharangovich from Janne Kuokkanen | 4–5 | 51% → 85% |
| P3 19:58 | NJD | Mikhail MaltsevEN from Michael McLeod, Connor Carrick | 4–6 | 98% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philippe Myers D | 18:24 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.15 | +0.81 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Oskar Lindblom L | 11:57 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.02 | +0.69 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 21:52 | 1 | +0.49 | −0.12 | +0.80 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Claude Giroux R | 20:03 | 1 | +0.47 | +0.20 | +0.24 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 20:55 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.19 | −0.08 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Jakub Voracek R | 19:48 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.21 | −0.18 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Robert Hagg D | 16:05 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Braun D | 17:49 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 14:44 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Wade Allison R | 13:12 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 14:03 | −0.13 | −0.06 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 23:34 | −0.13 | +0.15 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 14:22 | −0.16 | −0.06 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 15:06 | −0.22 | −0.07 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Egor Zamula D | 19:19 | −0.25 | −0.06 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jackson Cates C | 10:21 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.04 | −0.27 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 17:03 | −0.45 | −0.12 | −0.34 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nolan Patrick C | 11:14 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.02 | −0.42 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Elliott G | 57:26 | −2.67 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Carrick D | 20:07 | 1 | 1 | +1.08 | −0.04 | +0.93 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Nico Hischier C | 20:31 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.01 | +0.70 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Miles Wood L | 12:29 | 1 | +0.63 | −0.09 | +0.75 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Pavel Zacha C | 16:58 | 1 | 1 | +0.50 | −0.02 | +0.53 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 18:39 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.07 | +0.54 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jack Hughes C | 18:41 | 2 | +0.04 | +0.14 | −0.07 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Nathan Bastian R | 15:09 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikhail Maltsev L | 11:54 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Ryan Murray D | 22:45 | −0.05 | +0.10 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Tennyson D | 14:52 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nolan Foote L | 7:44 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McLeod C | 15:19 | 2 | −0.08 | −0.11 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | |
| Damon Severson D | 22:31 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 9:25 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ty Smith D | 15:50 | 2 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Janne Kuokkanen C | 14:49 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.04 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Will Butcher D | 21:12 | −0.21 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 17:05 | −0.30 | +0.05 | −0.36 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood G | 60:00 | −0.47 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.