DAL beat DET 3–2 in a shootout. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 4.0 to 1.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Luke Glendening scored at 16:55 of the second, moving DET’s win probability from 24% to 47%. Anton Khudobin saved 1.1 goals above expected.
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DET–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 15:50 | Roope HintzPP from Miro Heiskanen, John Klingberg | 0–1 | 54% → 71% | |
| P2 7:45 | Luke Glendening from Evgeny Svechnikov, Alex Biega | 1–1 | 27% → 47% | |
| P2 11:06 | Jason Robertson from Roope Hintz, Miro Heiskanen | 1–2 | 53% → 74% | |
| P2 16:55 | Luke Glendening from Alex Biega, Darren Helm | 2–2 | 24% → 47% |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Glendening C | 15:39 | 2 | +1.47 | −0.15 | +1.49 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Dylan Larkin C | 21:22 | +0.13 | −0.19 | −0.33 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.67 | ||
| Alex Biega D | 11:30 | 2 | +0.12 | +0.10 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gustav Lindstrom D | 14:49 | +0.04 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Danny DeKeyser D | 21:22 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc Staal D | 17:06 | −0.16 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Valtteri Filppula C | 18:30 | −0.21 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Troy Stecher D | 16:12 | −0.23 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Zadina R | 17:42 | −0.23 | −0.06 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 16:08 | −0.31 | −0.22 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Dennis Cholowski D | 16:56 | −0.33 | −0.30 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Darren Helm C | 15:26 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Richard Panik R | 15:53 | −0.36 | −0.03 | −0.32 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 17:50 | −0.52 | −0.47 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgeny Svechnikov L | 13:57 | 1 | −0.66 | +0.11 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.49 | |
| Sam Gagner C | 17:41 | −0.68 | −0.17 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.38 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 25:01 | −1.32 | −0.65 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 | ||
| Adam Erne L | 18:55 | −1.32 | −0.73 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thomas Greiss G | 65:00 | +0.74 |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson L | 19:38 | 1 | +1.30 | +0.21 | +0.56 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.67 | |
| Denis Gurianov R | 19:51 | +0.92 | +0.20 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.01 | ||
| Roope Hintz C | 20:12 | 1 | 1 | +0.54 | +0.47 | +0.52 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.49 |
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 20:25 | +0.32 | +0.40 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Benn L | 19:01 | +0.17 | +0.13 | −0.02 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 19:06 | +0.12 | +0.28 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 23:32 | 2 | +0.06 | +0.67 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 | |
| John Klingberg D | 24:03 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.24 | −0.37 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrej Sekera D | 13:48 | +0.03 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Dowling C | 9:13 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Sami Vatanen D | 16:39 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Kero C | 8:42 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rhett Gardner C | 8:43 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Cogliano C | 14:55 | −0.03 | +0.13 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 15:30 | −0.09 | +0.10 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 26:33 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Comeau L | 14:47 | −0.16 | +0.05 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 18:24 | −0.22 | +0.40 | −0.29 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.38 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Khudobin G | 64:58 | +1.11 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.