PIT beat NYR 5–2. PIT also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Kris Letang scored at 3:23 of the second, moving PIT’s win probability from 47% to 66%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PIT–NYR | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:26 | PIT | Radim Zohorna from Marcus Pettersson, Kris Letang | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 2:02 |  NYR | Colin BlackwellPP from Pavel Buchnevich, Kaapo Kakko | 1–1 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 3:23 | PIT | Kris Letang from Jake Guentzel, Brian Dumoulin | 2–1 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 11:28 | PIT | Evan RodriguesPP from Radim Zohorna, Jason Zucker | 3–1 | 70% → 85% |
| P3 10:29 | PIT | Jason Zucker from Evan Rodrigues, Cody Ceci | 4–1 | 96% → 99% |
| P3 13:48 | NYR | Kevin Rooney from Adam Fox | 4–2 | 0% → 2% |
| P3 18:29 | PIT | Mark JankowskiEN from Zachary Aston-Reese | 5–2 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radim Zohorna L | 9:47 | 1 | 1 | +0.63 | +0.12 | +0.18 | +0.15 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Kris Letang D | 24:40 | 1 | 1 | +0.61 | −0.04 | +0.46 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Evan Rodrigues C | 13:09 | 1 | 1 | +0.37 | −0.04 | +0.25 | +0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Jason Zucker L | 14:35 | 1 | 1 | +0.32 | −0.05 | +0.41 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Marcus Pettersson D | 14:57 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.09 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brian Dumoulin D | 20:35 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.09 | −0.03 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 16:02 | +0.11 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.10 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 18:28 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Lafferty C | 8:30 | +0.07 | +0.08 | −0.15 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sceviour C | 12:39 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Bryan Rust R | 19:08 | −0.03 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zachary Aston-Reese C | 15:31 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.09 | −0.15 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake Guentzel C | 20:31 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.16 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Mark Jankowski L | 11:50 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.09 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Marino D | 19:42 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Matheson D | 18:56 | −0.21 | +0.17 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared McCann L | 14:53 | −0.23 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Sidney Crosby C | 18:59 | −0.29 | +0.03 | −0.24 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry G | 59:18 | +0.45 |
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Rooney C | 12:01 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.01 | +0.34 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Colin Blackwell C | 15:06 | 1 | +0.19 | −0.09 | +0.34 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 18:24 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Brett Howden C | 10:26 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| K'Andre Miller D | 23:45 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 13:51 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brendan Smith D | 11:41 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Libor Hajek D | 11:34 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vitali Kravtsov R | 12:15 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 20:04 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.05 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 11:01 | −0.12 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ryan Lindgren D | 21:21 | −0.16 | −0.12 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 18:14 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 19:19 | −0.17 | −0.05 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fox D | 24:30 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.11 | −0.11 | +0.20 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Filip Chytil C | 11:33 | −0.20 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 23:20 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Kreider L | 16:32 | −0.54 | +0.06 | −0.54 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin G | 58:55 | −0.60 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.