BOS beat NYI 3–2 in overtime. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 4.7 to 1.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Taylor Hall scored on the power play at 2:53 of overtime, moving BOS’s win probability from 54% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYI–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 19:21 |  BOS | Taylor HallPP from David Krejci, Brad Marchand | 0–1 | 58% → 72% |
| P2 1:38 | NYI | Oliver WahlstromPP from Mathew Barzal, Nick Leddy | 1–1 | 29% → 47% |
| P2 6:15 | BOS | Brad MarchandPP from David Krejci, David Pastrnak | 1–2 | 54% → 73% |
| P2 8:31 | NYI | Mathew BarzalSH from Ryan Pulock, Anthony Beauvillier | 2–2 | 26% → 46% |
| OT 2:53 | BOS | Taylor HallPP from David Krejci, Mike Reilly | 2–3 | 54% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Wahlstrom R | 12:46 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.05 | +0.61 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mathew Barzal C | 19:18 | 1 | 1 | +0.51 | −0.24 | +0.76 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Andy Greene D | 18:01 | +0.14 | +0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ross Johnston L | 9:04 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 16:03 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 18:42 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Josh Bailey R | 15:15 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 12:37 | −0.13 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.18 | −0.04 | ||
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 10:51 | −0.14 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Dobson D | 16:50 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 12:57 | −0.31 | +0.05 | −0.36 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 17:15 | −0.35 | −0.14 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 21:21 | −0.36 | −0.29 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 19:26 | −0.38 | −0.38 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 18:01 | −0.38 | −0.27 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Leddy D | 23:51 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.37 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Pulock D | 23:37 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.18 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Leo Komarov R | 14:57 | −0.91 | −0.32 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.36 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov G | 40:00 | +0.96 |
| Ilya Sorokin G | 21:12 | +0.56 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Hall L | 17:30 | 2 | +1.97 | +0.24 | +1.51 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | |
| Brad Marchand L | 20:43 | 1 | 1 | +1.08 | +0.32 | +0.54 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| David Krejci C | 20:50 | 3 | +0.36 | +0.30 | −0.00 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 22:25 | +0.28 | +0.36 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Reilly D | 21:27 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.34 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| David Pastrnak R | 20:24 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.27 | −0.41 | +0.07 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Carlo D | 19:57 | +0.07 | +0.24 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 24:06 | −0.02 | +0.30 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Curtis Lazar C | 10:44 | −0.07 | +0.10 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Nick Ritchie L | 13:18 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevan Miller D | 15:28 | −0.09 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ondrej Kase R | 6:49 | −0.16 | +0.13 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 15:26 | −0.17 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Craig Smith C | 15:05 | −0.20 | +0.21 | −0.40 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 15:18 | −0.21 | −0.06 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Chris Wagner R | 12:53 | −0.23 | −0.07 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 11:19 | −0.25 | +0.19 | −0.43 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrice Bergeron C | 19:13 | −0.31 | +0.28 | −0.72 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.13 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Tuukka Rask G | 62:50 | −0.08 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.