NYI beat BOS 4–3 in overtime. Expected goals were close to even (NYI 2.4, BOS 2.4), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier scored at 0:21 of overtime, moving NYI’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Jaroslav Halak allowed 1.8 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYI–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 11:42 | BOS | Karson Kuhlman from Charlie McAvoy, Anders Bjork | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 17:35 | BOS | Steven KampferPP from Charlie McAvoy, David Krejci | 0–2 | 72% → 85% |
| P2 7:21 | NYI | Jean-Gabriel Pageau from Scott Mayfield, Leo Komarov | 1–2 | 12% → 27% |
| P3 4:33 | NYI | Josh Bailey from Brock Nelson, Nick Leddy | 2–2 | 21% → 48% |
| P3 17:04 | NYI | Oliver Wahlstrom from Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Anthony Beauvillier | 3–2 | 49% → 91% |
| P3 17:58 | BOS | Anders Bjork from Charlie Coyle, Chris Wagner | 3–3 | 7% → 50% |
| OT 0:21 | NYI | Anthony Beauvillier from Nick Leddy, Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 18:42 | 1 | 2 | +0.95 | +0.32 | +0.37 | +0.21 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 |
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 14:49 | 1 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.22 | +0.33 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Oliver Wahlstrom R | 13:00 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.04 | +0.35 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Leddy D | 21:17 | 2 | +0.35 | +0.07 | −0.06 | +0.36 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Pulock D | 21:34 | +0.25 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Bailey R | 17:36 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.26 | −0.08 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Scott Mayfield D | 21:10 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.24 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Thomas Hickey D | 14:20 | +0.12 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andy Greene D | 19:41 | +0.04 | +0.09 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 20:23 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Leo Komarov R | 13:06 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.04 | −0.14 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Matt Martin L | 10:15 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 14:09 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 14:36 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 16:51 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.25 | +0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Mathew Barzal C | 14:25 | −0.19 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Michael Dal Colle L | 12:40 | −0.29 | +0.04 | −0.12 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 14:25 | −0.37 | −0.03 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.18 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov G | 60:21 | −0.41 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie McAvoy D | 22:31 | 2 | +0.60 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.36 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Karson Kuhlman C | 9:00 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.03 | +0.38 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Steven Kampfer D | 18:49 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.06 | +0.29 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anders Bjork L | 14:36 | 1 | 1 | +0.30 | −0.13 | +0.38 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Charlie Coyle C | 17:36 | 1 | +0.10 | −0.13 | −0.04 | +0.24 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Connor Clifton D | 18:39 | +0.00 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Wagner R | 12:26 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.14 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Jarred Tinordi D | 16:28 | −0.01 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Krejci C | 17:59 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.04 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| David Pastrnak R | 19:49 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trent Frederic C | 9:47 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Greg McKegg C | 10:18 | −0.10 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jakub Zboril D | 18:05 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 21:07 | −0.18 | −0.16 | −0.05 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Ritchie L | 18:33 | −0.19 | +0.03 | −0.10 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Craig Smith C | 16:59 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.15 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Patrice Bergeron C | 18:06 | −0.26 | −0.07 | −0.22 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 18:15 | −0.37 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Tuukka Rask G | 20:00 | +0.61 |
| Jaroslav Halak G | 40:21 | −1.82 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.