WSH beat NJD 5–4 in overtime. WSH also won the expected-goals battle 2.6 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jakub Vrana scored at 1:30 of overtime, moving WSH’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Scott Wedgewood allowed 2.2 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NJD–WSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 17:22 | WSH | T.J. OshiePP from Justin Schultz, Nicklas Backstrom | 0–1 | 54% → 71% |
| P2 7:42 | WSH | Jakub Vrana from John Carlson, Nicklas Backstrom | 0–2 | 73% → 88% |
| P2 10:36 | WSH | Daniel Sprong from Evgeny Kuznetsov | 0–3 | 89% → 96% |
| P2 12:44 | NJD | Janne Kuokkanen from Travis Zajac | 1–3 | 3% → 11% |
| P2 15:03 | WSH | Dmitry Orlov from Richard Panik | 1–4 | 90% → 97% |
| P3 5:47 | NJD | Miles Wood from Jesper Bratt, Ryan Murray | 2–4 | 1% → 6% |
| P3 10:17 | NJD | Yegor Sharangovich from Janne Kuokkanen, Travis Zajac | 3–4 | 4% → 17% |
| P3 12:20 | NJD | Damon Severson from Ty Smith, Travis Zajac | 4–4 | 15% → 49% |
| OT 1:30 | WSH | Jakub Vrana from Evgeny Kuznetsov | 4–5 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damon Severson D | 22:41 | 1 | +0.69 | −0.09 | +0.82 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 17:30 | 1 | +0.48 | −0.17 | +0.70 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Miles Wood L | 16:40 | 1 | +0.41 | −0.04 | +0.65 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Janne Kuokkanen C | 15:07 | 1 | 1 | +0.29 | −0.15 | +0.66 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Pavel Zacha C | 19:39 | +0.08 | −0.02 | −0.32 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.36 | +0.06 | ||
| Jack Hughes C | 20:08 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.10 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.18 | −0.03 | ||
| Ryan Murray D | 14:25 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Zajac C | 14:37 | 3 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Mikhail Maltsev L | 11:22 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Johnsson L | 6:44 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 19:47 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McLeod C | 12:21 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Sami Vatanen D | 16:55 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 13:43 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| P.K. Subban D | 21:42 | −0.15 | −0.09 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 21:31 | −0.23 | −0.02 | −0.23 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nathan Bastian R | 11:12 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ty Smith D | 23:23 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.14 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood G | 60:46 | −2.23 |
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Vrana L | 12:24 | 2 | +1.60 | +0.22 | +1.38 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Daniel Sprong R | 12:27 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.86 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Dmitry Orlov D | 21:29 | 1 | +0.64 | −0.03 | +0.68 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| T.J. Oshie R | 20:20 | 1 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.53 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Nicklas Backstrom C | 21:09 | 2 | +0.27 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.02 | |
| Justin Schultz D | 20:36 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zdeno Chara D | 17:08 | +0.06 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 13:05 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 18:24 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Carlson D | 23:22 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.14 | −0.17 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Lars Eller C | 16:04 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Evgeny Kuznetsov C | 12:52 | 2 | −0.09 | +0.11 | −0.20 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Alex Ovechkin L | 23:47 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.32 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Hagelin L | 12:23 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Richard Panik R | 12:24 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Nick Jensen D | 16:21 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Sheary L | 11:59 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 10:42 | −0.29 | +0.03 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Vitek Vanecek G | 61:04 | −1.46 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.