CBJ beat CHI 6–5. CBJ also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Kevin Stenlund scored at 18:46 of the third, moving CBJ’s win probability from 50% to 95%. Kevin Lankinen allowed 2.3 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 12:10 | CBJ | Cam AtkinsonSH from Nick Foligno | 1–0 | 46% → 63% |
| P2 0:21 |  CHI | Ian Mitchell from David Kampf, Matthew Highmore | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 1:17 | CHI | Nicolas Beaudin from Nikita Zadorov, Alex DeBrincat | 1–2 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 13:30 | CHI | Pius Suter from Patrick Kane, Nicolas Beaudin | 1–3 | 75% → 89% |
| P2 18:00 | CBJ | Jack RoslovicPP from Max Domi, Seth Jones | 2–3 | 9% → 24% |
| P3 0:29 | CHI | Patrick KanePP from Alex DeBrincat | 2–4 | 78% → 92% |
| P3 6:39 | CBJ | Boone JennerPP from Cam Atkinson, Kevin Stenlund | 3–4 | 6% → 19% |
| P3 7:59 | CBJ | Jack Roslovic from Cam Atkinson, Patrik Laine | 4–4 | 19% → 48% |
| P3 13:05 | CHI | Alex DeBrincat from Patrick Kane, Madison Bowey | 4–5 | 51% → 86% |
| P3 17:19 | CBJ | Michael Del Zotto from Cam Atkinson, Andrew Peeke | 5–5 | 8% → 49% |
| P3 18:46 | CBJ | Kevin Stenlund from Oliver Bjorkstrand, Michael Del Zotto | 6–5 | 50% → 95% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roslovic C | 19:22 | 2 | +1.44 | −0.06 | +1.45 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.18 | −0.12 | |
| Michael Del Zotto D | 20:33 | 1 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.22 | +0.55 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Cam Atkinson R | 17:26 | 1 | 3 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.63 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Kevin Stenlund C | 13:51 | 1 | 1 | +0.62 | +0.05 | +0.62 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Boone Jenner C | 16:17 | 1 | +0.52 | +0.13 | +0.38 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 17:40 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.28 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| David Savard D | 16:11 | +0.17 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexandre Texier L | 11:18 | +0.11 | +0.23 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikhail Grigorenko C | 9:40 | +0.08 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Max Domi C | 13:48 | 1 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Scott Harrington D | 13:10 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrik Laine L | 20:23 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Foligno L | 19:20 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.15 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 14:50 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.04 | −0.28 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Eric Robinson L | 13:20 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 26:12 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.03 | −0.18 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Riley Nash C | 11:31 | −0.31 | +0.08 | −0.38 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 22:02 | −0.35 | −0.00 | −0.13 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 60:00 | −2.20 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kane R | 21:34 | 1 | 2 | +1.04 | +0.18 | +0.81 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 20:12 | 1 | 2 | +0.68 | +0.08 | +0.58 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Nicolas Beaudin D | 13:31 | 1 | 1 | +0.67 | −0.09 | +0.76 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Ian Mitchell D | 17:58 | 1 | +0.50 | −0.18 | +0.72 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pius Suter C | 18:53 | 1 | +0.42 | +0.22 | +0.42 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.03 | |
| Madison Bowey D | 11:49 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Lucas Carlsson D | 14:19 | +0.07 | +0.13 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Calvin de Haan D | 17:28 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Hagel L | 14:13 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Soderberg C | 16:10 | −0.05 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 11:42 | −0.17 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 15:53 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Duncan Keith D | 24:38 | −0.21 | −0.23 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mattias Janmark C | 17:46 | −0.28 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dominik Kubalik L | 14:39 | −0.37 | −0.04 | −0.32 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Highmore C | 13:01 | 1 | −0.41 | +0.10 | −0.35 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| David Kampf C | 18:12 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.16 | −0.27 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Dylan Strome C | 12:36 | −0.44 | −0.34 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 59:27 | −2.33 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.