PHI beat NJD 4–3 in a shootout. Expected goals were close to even (NJD 2.7, PHI 2.5), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Claude Giroux scored on the power play at 18:56 of the third, moving PHI’s win probability from 6% to 50%. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 1.3 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NJD–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:56 |  NJD | Michael McLeod from Nathan Bastian, Miles Wood | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 11:45 | PHI | Sean Couturier from Philippe Myers, Ivan Provorov | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P2 7:07 | NJD | Miles Wood from Nathan Bastian, Damon Severson | 2–1 | 47% → 67% |
| P3 9:16 | NJD | Pavel Zacha from Jesper Bratt, Nico Hischier | 3–1 | 79% → 95% |
| P3 18:34 | PHI | Claude GirouxPP from James van Riemsdyk, Jakub Voracek | 3–2 | 0% → 6% |
| P3 18:56 | PHI | Claude GirouxPP from James van Riemsdyk, Jakub Voracek | 3–3 | 6% → 50% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Bratt L | 16:53 | 1 | +0.90 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.01 | |
| Michael McLeod C | 17:00 | 1 | +0.63 | +0.09 | +0.56 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | |
| Miles Wood L | 14:42 | 1 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.02 | +0.47 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 |
| Andreas Johnsson L | 11:04 | +0.15 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 26:18 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.28 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Zacha C | 18:49 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.05 | +0.58 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.49 | |
| Ryan Murray D | 22:00 | +0.13 | +0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton White D | 15:09 | +0.08 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Merkley R | 11:54 | +0.07 | +0.04 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Carrick D | 21:04 | +0.07 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Tennyson D | 17:11 | +0.05 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nathan Bastian R | 14:14 | 2 | +0.03 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 18:49 | −0.06 | +0.13 | −0.35 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.22 | ||
| Janne Kuokkanen C | 17:22 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Will Butcher D | 21:00 | −0.16 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nico Hischier C | 20:02 | 1 | −0.42 | +0.06 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | −0.49 | |
| Jack Hughes C | 21:37 | −0.61 | +0.01 | −0.45 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.18 | −0.04 | −0.32 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 10:28 | −0.64 | +0.01 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood G | 64:39 | −1.27 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Giroux R | 20:37 | 2 | +1.97 | −0.23 | +1.48 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.67 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 22:07 | 1 | +1.21 | +0.01 | +0.76 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.41 | |
| Kevin Hayes R | 16:12 | +0.71 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | −0.08 | +1.01 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 16:08 | 2 | +0.14 | +0.13 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Wade Allison R | 13:14 | +0.06 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 25:38 | −0.00 | +0.14 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Lindblom L | 10:50 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Robert Hagg D | 18:32 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nolan Patrick C | 10:41 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Justin Braun D | 21:33 | −0.08 | +0.11 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Morin L | 11:26 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 16:53 | −0.26 | −0.18 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Philippe Myers D | 19:37 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.12 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jakub Voracek R | 19:28 | 2 | −0.35 | −0.18 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 16:55 | −0.41 | −0.04 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.16 | ||
| Jackson Cates C | 9:02 | −0.42 | +0.01 | −0.42 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 29:01 | 1 | −1.12 | −0.35 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.49 | |
| Scott Laughton C | 14:51 | −1.14 | −0.02 | −0.54 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.09 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Elliott G | 63:30 | +0.40 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.