VGK beat ANA 5–4. VGK also won the expected-goals battle 3.0 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Zach Whitecloud scored at 16:04 of the third, moving VGK’s win probability from 51% to 90%. Ryan Miller allowed 2.5 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–VGK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:56 | VGK | Chandler Stephenson from Mark Stone, Dylan Coghlan | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 18:52 | VGK | Jonathan Marchessault from Reilly Smith, William Karlsson | 0–2 | 71% → 85% |
| P2 2:39 | VGK | Alex Tuch from Cody Glass | 0–3 | 86% → 94% |
| P2 3:38 | ANA | Isac Lundeström from Maxime Comtois, Ben Hutton | 1–3 | 6% → 14% |
| P2 16:42 | VGK | Nicolas Roy from Cody Glass, Shea Theodore | 1–4 | 91% → 98% |
| P3 5:02 | ANA | Troy Terry from Kevin Shattenkirk, Hampus Lindholm | 2–4 | 1% → 6% |
| P3 7:23 | ANA | Adam Henrique from Troy Terry | 3–4 | 5% → 19% |
| P3 9:59 | ANA | Ryan GetzlafPP from Rickard Rakell, Kevin Shattenkirk | 4–4 | 18% → 48% |
| P3 16:04 | VGK | Zach Whitecloud from William Carrier, Chandler Stephenson | 4–5 | 51% → 90% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Henrique C | 14:37 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.08 | +0.78 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Troy Terry R | 14:09 | 1 | 1 | +0.81 | −0.02 | +0.82 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Ryan Getzlaf C | 15:38 | 1 | +0.55 | −0.01 | +0.31 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.06 | |
| Isac Lundeström C | 14:24 | 1 | +0.52 | −0.30 | +0.79 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Hampus Lindholm D | 21:59 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 10:08 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 24:12 | 2 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Steel C | 18:40 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jani Hakanpää D | 17:13 | −0.18 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carter Rowney C | 13:52 | −0.19 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ben Hutton D | 15:12 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 17:15 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 18:11 | −0.19 | −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Larsson D | 16:48 | −0.20 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Maxime Comtois L | 15:28 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| David Backes R | 12:10 | −0.22 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.02 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 20:43 | −0.30 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rickard Rakell R | 19:22 | 1 | −0.72 | −0.11 | −0.60 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Miller G | 57:59 | −2.48 |
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Whitecloud D | 21:47 | 1 | +1.05 | +0.33 | +0.72 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chandler Stephenson C | 18:43 | 1 | 1 | +0.94 | +0.22 | +0.71 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Nicolas Roy C | 15:22 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.02 | +0.83 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 16:31 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.23 | +0.55 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Alex Tuch R | 15:52 | 1 | +0.72 | +0.14 | +0.57 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alec Martinez D | 25:47 | +0.44 | +0.39 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Reaves R | 8:36 | +0.10 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 18:00 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mark Stone R | 17:58 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.11 | +0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Shea Theodore D | 12:51 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Hague D | 16:49 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Carrier L | 9:09 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.14 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Reilly Smith R | 17:24 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.18 | −0.26 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tomas Nosek L | 9:05 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Cody Glass C | 14:08 | 2 | −0.13 | +0.10 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Nick Holden D | 21:45 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Coghlan D | 18:53 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.04 | −0.20 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Max Pacioretty L | 17:21 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.22 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 60:00 | −1.56 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.